WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
1-9 | Road
135
DETROIT
PISTONSDET
8-2 | Home
137
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
100%
PISTONS
0%
WIZARDS
--
PISTONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
234.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-34.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +34.0 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DET -34.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
WSH By 1-7 points
0.0%
WSH By 8-14 points
0.0%
DET By 1-7 points
0.4%
DET By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
100
WASHINGTON
Detroit
134
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Washington
108
WASHINGTON
Detroit
112
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pistons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pistons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pistons (-11.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Sim
Pistons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u235.5
Loss
Proj Total: 234.0
D
Sim
u235.5
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 19, 2026
DET @ WSH
117 - 95
Mar 17, 2026
DET @ WSH
130 - 117
Feb 5, 2026
WSH @ DET
126 - 117
Nov 10, 2025
WSH @ DET
135 - 137
Oct 16, 2025
WSH @ DET
98 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+91.7% more
Detroit: 9.9
vs
Washington: 5.2
Assists (L5)
+8.9% more
Detroit: 23.6
vs
Washington: 21.7
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.7%
Detroit: 50.4%
vs
Washington: 44.6%
Blocks (L5)
+27.8% more
Washington: 5.9
vs
Detroit: 4.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
100.0
135
DET Score
134.0
137
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.7 / 34.5
32.0 / 39.0
Assists
23.6 / 21.7
27.0 / 26.0
Blocks
4.3 / 5.9
5.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
50.4 / 44.6
41.0 / 53.0
Free Throw %
62.0 / 69.8
79.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
39.4 / 39.3
63.0 / 46.0
Steals
9.9 / 5.2
16.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
12.7 / 17.0
16.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
WSH
DET
WSH
ML
55%
64-53
70%
112-49
49%
47-49
47%
39-44
ATS
53%
60-54-3
69%
111-49-1
49%
47-49
47%
39-44
TTL
60%
70-46-1
74%
119-41-1
100%
96-0
100%
83-0
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