ATLANTA
HAWKSATL
5-5 | Road
105
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
3-6 | Home
102
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
0%
CLIPPERS
100%
HAWKS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
203.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAC +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
ATL By 1-7 points
27.2%
ATL By 8-14 points
20.1%
LAC By 1-7 points
21.6%
LAC By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Atlanta
103
ATLANTA
LA
100
LA
Simulated Score
Atlanta
112
ATLANTA
LA
115
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Clippers (+5)
Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim
Clippers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u221.0
Win
Proj Total: 203.0
D
Sim
u221.0
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 3, 2025
LAC @ ATL
115 - 92
Nov 10, 2025
ATL @ LAC
105 - 102
Mar 14, 2025
LAC @ ATL
121 - 98
Jan 4, 2025
ATL @ LAC
105 - 131
Mar 17, 2024
ATL @ LAC
110 - 93
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+28.1% more
Atlanta: 5.0
vs
LA: 3.6
Steals (L5)
+26.1% more
Atlanta: 9.0
vs
LA: 6.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+12.7%
Atlanta: 73.8%
vs
LA: 61.1%
Rebounding (L5)
+12.6% more
Atlanta: 35.6
vs
LA: 31.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATL Score
103.0
105
LAC Score
100.0
102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.0 / 33.6
32.0 / 38.0
Assists
22.0 / 24.9
19.0 / 30.0
Blocks
3.6 / 5.0
9.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
47.6 / 46.7
44.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
61.1 / 73.8
72.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
31.1 / 35.6
42.0 / 41.0
Steals
6.6 / 9.0
7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.8 / 13.8
12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATL
Advantage
48-40-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATL
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.1
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
ATL
LAC
ATL
ML
60%
59-40
50%
52-52
55%
45-37
55%
48-40
ATS
66%
65-33-1
53%
55-48-1
55%
45-37
55%
48-40
TTL
59%
58-40-1
53%
55-48-1
100%
82-0
100%
88-0
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