Home / NBA Projections NBA / Lakers @ Hornets LAL @ CHA

LOS ANGELES

LAKERSLAL

7-3  |  Road

121
FINAL
Mon, Nov 10 • 7:00 PM ET
Spectrum Center
View Odds Details →

CHARLOTTE

HORNETSCHA

3-6  |  Home

111
AI Model Win Probability
LAKERS
0%
📊
HORNETS
100%
LAKERS --
HORNETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
209.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-37.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +37.0 points (Los Angeles)
LakersLAL (-3.5) 0 HornetsCHA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lakers Cover

100.0%

Hornets Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAL -37.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAL)

LAL By 1-7 points

0.1%

LAL By 8-14 points

1.1%

CHA By 1-7 points

0.0%

CHA By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
123
LOS ANGELES
86
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
107
LOS ANGELES
119
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Lakers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hornets Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Lakers (+8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Sim Hornets (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u230.0 Loss
Proj Total: 209.0
D
Sim u230.0 Win
Proj Total: 226.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 15, 2026 CHA @ LAL 135 - 117
Nov 10, 2025 LAL @ CHA 121 - 111
Feb 19, 2025 CHA @ LAL 100 - 97
Jan 27, 2025 LAL @ CHA 112 - 107
Feb 5, 2024 LAL @ CHA 124 - 118
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +39.6% more
Los Angeles: 7.7 vs Charlotte: 4.7
Field Goal % (L5) +4.9%
Los Angeles: 49.7% vs Charlotte: 44.9%
Blocks (L5) +48.5% more
Charlotte: 5.8 vs Los Angeles: 3.9
Rebounding (L5) +24.0% more
Charlotte: 43.2 vs Los Angeles: 34.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAL Score 123.0 121
CHA Score 86.0 111
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.4 / 34.8 47.0 / 36.0
Assists 19.8 / 21.3 28.0 / 25.0
Blocks 5.8 / 3.9 6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 44.9 / 49.7 52.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 72.7 / 68.0 91.0 / 85.0
Rebounding 43.2 / 34.8 37.0 / 36.0
Steals 4.7 / 7.7 6.0 / 12.0
Turnovers 14.8 / 14.1 23.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
92%TICKETS8%
95%MONEY5%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
80%MONEY20%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
43%MONEY57%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAL Advantage
57-35-0 (62.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
CHA
45-39-0 (53.6%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAL
51-41-0 (55.4%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
CHA Advantage
50-34-0 (59.5%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
LAL
46-46-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.4
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9% Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
LAL
CHA
LAL
ML
61% 60-39
61% 68-43
48% 40-44
54% 49-42
ATS
60% 59-40
61% 67-43-1
48% 40-44
54% 49-42
TTL
58% 57-42
61% 66-43-2
100% 84-0
100% 91-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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