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PORTLAND

TRAIL BLAZERSPOR

5-4  |  Road

112
FINAL
Mon, Nov 10 • 7:00 PM ET
Kia Center
View Odds Details →

ORLANDO

MAGICORL

4-6  |  Home

115
AI Model Win Probability
TRAIL BLAZERS
0%
📊
MAGIC
100%
TRAIL BLAZERS --
MAGIC --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
213.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
PORTLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Portland)
Trail BlazersPOR (-3.5) 0 MagicORL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Trail Blazers Cover

75.8%

Magic Cover

24.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around POR -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (POR)

POR By 1-7 points

26.2%

POR By 8-14 points

25.3%

ORL By 1-7 points

15.3%

ORL By 8-14 points

5.8%

AI Model Projected Score
110
PORTLAND
103
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
107
PORTLAND
112
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Trail Blazers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Magic Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Trail Blazers (-2) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Magic (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u235.0 Win
Proj Total: 213.0
D
Sim u235.0 Win
Proj Total: 219.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 23, 2025 ORL @ POR 110 - 106
Nov 10, 2025 POR @ ORL 112 - 115
Jan 30, 2025 ORL @ POR 90 - 119
Jan 23, 2025 POR @ ORL 101 - 79
Apr 1, 2024 POR @ ORL 103 - 104
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +25.8% more
Orlando: 4.2 vs Portland: 3.4
Free Throw % (L5) +8.8%
Orlando: 72.9% vs Portland: 64.1%
Field Goal % (L5) +3.2%
Orlando: 46.8% vs Portland: 43.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.6%
Orlando: 34.1% vs Portland: 31.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
POR Score 110.0 112
ORL Score 103.0 115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.1 / 31.5 27.0 / 36.0
Assists 21.2 / 19.9 26.0 / 22.0
Blocks 4.2 / 3.4 7.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 46.8 / 43.6 45.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 72.9 / 64.1 85.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 36.9 / 38.1 50.0 / 38.0
Steals 7.4 / 7.0 6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 14.2 / 14.4 13.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
55%MONEY45%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
44%MONEY56%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
35%MONEY65%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
POR
44-44-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
ORL Advantage
49-42-0 (53.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
POR Advantage
46-42-0 (52.3%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
ORL
43-48-0 (47.3%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -1.0
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
POR
ORL
POR
ML
61% 65-42
53% 56-49
56% 51-40
55% 49-40
ATS
64% 68-38-1
62% 65-39-1
56% 51-40
55% 49-40
TTL
57% 61-46
56% 58-46-1
100% 91-0
100% 89-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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