SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
7-2 | Road
121
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
6-3 | Home
117
AI Model Win Probability
SPURS
100%
BULLS
0%
SPURS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
207.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-35.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +35.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHI -35.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
SA By 1-7 points
0.0%
SA By 8-14 points
0.0%
CHI By 1-7 points
0.3%
CHI By 8-14 points
1.7%
AI Model Projected Score
San Antonio
86
SAN ANTONIO
Chicago
121
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
San Antonio
109
SAN ANTONIO
Chicago
114
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulls
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulls (+5)
Win
Proj Spread: -35.0
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u235.0
Loss
Proj Total: 207.0
D
Sim
u235.0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 30, 2026
CHI @ SA
114 - 129
Nov 10, 2025
SA @ CHI
121 - 117
Jan 6, 2025
SA @ CHI
110 - 114
Dec 5, 2024
CHI @ SA
139 - 124
Jan 13, 2024
CHI @ SA
122 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+11.6% more
Chicago: 39.9
vs
San Antonio: 35.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.3%
Chicago: 38.6%
vs
San Antonio: 36.3%
Turnovers (L5)
+9.9% more
San Antonio: 13.9
vs
Chicago: 12.5
Steals (L5)
+8.8% more
San Antonio: 8.0
vs
Chicago: 7.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SA Score
86.0
121
CHI Score
121.0
117
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.6 / 36.3
42.0 / 30.0
Assists
24.3 / 23.9
29.0 / 30.0
Blocks
3.9 / 3.9
4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
46.5 / 50.6
44.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
70.3 / 73.4
83.0 / 85.0
Rebounding
39.9 / 35.8
45.0 / 47.0
Steals
7.3 / 8.0
10.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
12.5 / 13.9
13.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
SA
CHI
SA
ML
56%
54-42
60%
111-73
57%
46-35
58%
61-44
ATS
65%
62-33-1
58%
107-76-1
57%
46-35
58%
61-44
TTL
58%
56-40
74%
134-47-3
100%
81-0
100%
105-0
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