NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
7-6-2 | Road
3
NEW JERSEY
DEVILSNJ
11-4-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Colton White
#45 | D| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 1.96 | 0.943 | -- |
| Colton White | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.96
GAA
--
0.943
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
100%
DEVILS
0%
ISLANDERS
--
DEVILS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEW JERSEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (New Jersey)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NJ -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NJ)
NYI By 1 goal
12.1%
NYI By 2-3 goals
9.3%
NJ By 1 goal
19.7%
NJ By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
2
NEW YORK
New Jersey
3
NEW JERSEY
Simulated Score
New York
2
NEW YORK
New Jersey
3
NEW JERSEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Devils
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Devils
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Devils (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Devils (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 3, 2026
NJ @ NYI
0 - 6
Feb 5, 2026
NYI @ NJ
3 - 1
Jan 6, 2026
NJ @ NYI
0 - 9
Dec 23, 2025
NJ @ NYI
1 - 2
Nov 10, 2025
NYI @ NJ
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+21.8% more
New Jersey: 19.8
vs
New York: 16.2
Blocked Shots (L5)
+21.5% more
New Jersey: 18.6
vs
New York: 15.3
Power Play % (L5)
+16.7%
New York: 23.5%
vs
New Jersey: 6.8%
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.4%
New York: 54.6%
vs
New Jersey: 51.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYI Score
2.0
3
NJ Score
3.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.6 / 15.3
11.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
51.2 / 54.6
40.5 / 59.5
Hits
19.8 / 16.2
13.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
6.8 / 23.5
25.0 / 100.0
Shots on Goal
27.1 / 28.8
35.0 / 24.0
Takeaways
4.4 / 4.3
3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NJ
NYI
NJ
NYI
ML
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
0%
0-2-1
100%
2-0-1
50%
1-1-1
100%
2-0-1
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