FLORIDA
PANTHERSFLA
7-7-1 | Road
3
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
7-3-4 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Niko Mikkola
#77 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Carl Lindbom
#30 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niko Mikkola | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Carl Lindbom | None-None | 3.08 | 0.850 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
3.08
--
Save %
0.850
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
0%
PANTHERS
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
FLA By 1 goal
6.6%
FLA By 2-3 goals
3.7%
VGK By 1 goal
17.5%
VGK By 2-3 goals
37.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida
1
FLORIDA
Vegas
3
VEGAS
Simulated Score
Florida
2
FLORIDA
Vegas
3
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Knights
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Golden Knights (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 10, 2025
FLA @ VGK
3 - 2
Oct 25, 2025
VGK @ FLA
0 - 3
Jan 26, 2025
FLA @ VGK
1 - 4
Oct 19, 2024
VGK @ FLA
3 - 4
Jan 4, 2024
FLA @ VGK
4 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+44.2% more
Vegas: 6.3
vs
Florida: 4.4
Blocked Shots (L5)
+14.5% more
Vegas: 15.4
vs
Florida: 13.5
Power Play % (L5)
+10.3%
Vegas: 16.3%
vs
Florida: 6.0%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+8.8% more
Vegas: 32.8
vs
Florida: 30.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FLA Score
1.0
3
VGK Score
3.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.4 / 13.5
13.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
56.7 / 49.4
46.9 / 53.1
Hits
17.5 / 25.0
22.0 / 21.0
Power Play %
16.3 / 6.0
0.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
32.8 / 30.1
32.0 / 20.0
Takeaways
6.3 / 4.4
6.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
FLA
VGK
FLA
ML
75%
3-1
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
0%
0-4
ATS
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
TTL
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
0%
0-4
Contextual Game News
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