Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wildcats @ Crimson UNH @ HARV

NEW HAMPSHIRE

WILDCATSUNH

1-1  |  Road

75
FINAL
Sun, Nov 9 • 12:00 PM ET
Lavietes Pavilion
View Odds Details →

HARVARD

CRIMSONHARV

1-0  |  Home

86
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
100%
📊
CRIMSON
0%
WILDCATS --
CRIMSON --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
HARVARD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (Harvard)
WildcatsUNH (-3.5) 0 CrimsonHARV (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

0.8%

Crimson Cover

99.2%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HARV -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HARV)

UNH By 1-7 points

0.6%

UNH By 8-14 points

0.1%

HARV By 1-7 points

4.0%

HARV By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
59
NEW HAMPSHIRE
83
HARVARD
Simulated Score
68
NEW HAMPSHIRE
75
HARVARD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Crimson Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Crimson Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Crimson (-15) Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Sim Crimson (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u147.5 Loss
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 9, 2025 UNH @ HARV 75 - 86
Dec 8, 2024 HARV @ UNH 72 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +15.2% more
Harvard: 8.6 vs New Hampshire: 7.4
Free Throw % (L5) +12.8%
Harvard: 77.6% vs New Hampshire: 64.8%
Field Goal % (L5) +6.5%
Harvard: 45.5% vs New Hampshire: 39.0%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.2%
Harvard: 33.2% vs New Hampshire: 29.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNH Score 59.0 75
HARV Score 83.0 86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.2 / 29.0 50.0 / 43.0
Assists 12.4 / 13.7 15.0 / 12.0
Blocks 2.5 / 2.8 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 45.5 / 39.0 55.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 77.6 / 64.8 83.0 / 90.0
Rebounding 34.8 / 44.2 30.0 / 27.0
Steals 8.6 / 7.4 9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 9.3 / 11.5 9.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNH
9-21-0 (30.0%)
Margin: -5.4 ATS +/-: -2.3
HARV Advantage
17-12-0 (58.6%)
Margin: 3.4 ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNH
12-16-0 (42.9%)
Margin: -5.4 ATS +/-: -2.3
HARV Advantage
12-13-1 (48.0%)
Margin: 3.4 ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
UNH
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4% Total +/-: +0.8
HARV
9-17-0
O: 34.6% / U: 65.4% Total +/-: -4.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HARV
UNH
HARV
UNH
ML
45% 13-16
70% 19-8
52% 15-14
74% 20-7
ATS
45% 13-16
67% 18-9
52% 15-14
74% 20-7
TTL
41% 12-17
59% 16-11
100% 29-0
100% 27-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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