Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Dukes COPP @ JMU

COPPIN STATE

EAGLESCOPP

0-2  |  Road

70
FINAL
Sun, Nov 9 • 1:00 PM ET
Atlantic Union Bank Center
View Odds Details →

JAMES MADISON

DUKESJMU

1-1  |  Home

84
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
DUKES
0%
EAGLES --
DUKES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
JAMES MADISON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (James Madison)
EaglesCOPP (-3.5) 0 DukesJMU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

21.2%

Dukes Cover

78.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around JMU -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JMU)

COPP By 1-7 points

13.7%

COPP By 8-14 points

4.8%

JMU By 1-7 points

25.3%

JMU By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
70
COPPIN STATE
78
JAMES MADISON
Simulated Score
59
COPPIN STATE
88
JAMES MADISON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Dukes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Dukes Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Dukes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Dukes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 9, 2025 COPP @ JMU 70 - 84
Dec 19, 2023 COPP @ JMU 48 - 87
Dec 21, 2022 JMU @ COPP 100 - 107
Nov 26, 2019 COPP @ JMU 94 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +64.4% more
James Madison: 6.3 vs Coppin State: 3.8
Rebounding (L5) +30.6% more
James Madison: 38.0 vs Coppin State: 29.1
Steals (L5) +20.6% more
James Madison: 6.5 vs Coppin State: 5.4
Free Throw % (L5) +6.1%
James Madison: 81.2% vs Coppin State: 75.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COPP Score 70.0 70
JMU Score 78.0 84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.7 / 28.7 40.0 / 53.0
Assists 11.8 / 12.4 21.0 / 10.0
Blocks 6.3 / 3.8 6.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 40.1 / 41.2 46.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 81.2 / 75.1 80.0 / 72.0
Rebounding 38.0 / 29.1 33.0 / 35.0
Steals 6.5 / 5.4 6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 11.3 / 16.4 12.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
2%MONEY98%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
24%MONEY76%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
33%MONEY67%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COPP
7-24-0 (22.6%)
Margin: -14.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
JMU Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COPP Advantage
13-17-0 (43.3%)
Margin: -14.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
JMU
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
COPP
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7% Total +/-: +2.1
JMU
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: +3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JMU
COPP
JMU
COPP
ML
64% 21-12
65% 20-11
66% 21-11
79% 19-5
ATS
67% 22-11
68% 21-10
66% 21-11
79% 19-5
TTL
67% 22-11
52% 16-15
100% 32-0
100% 24-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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