AI Model Win Probability
AGGIES
100%
COWBOYS
0%
AGGIES
--
COWBOYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
162.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
OKLAHOMA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Oklahoma State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OKST -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OKST)
TA&M By 1-7 points
23.0%
TA&M By 8-14 points
12.2%
OKST By 1-7 points
26.8%
OKST By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas A&M
80
TEXAS A&M
Oklahoma State
82
OKLAHOMA STATE
Simulated Score
Texas A&M
76
TEXAS A&M
Oklahoma State
69
OKLAHOMA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cowboys
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Aggies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cowboys (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Aggies (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 162.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 9, 2025
TA&M @ OKST
63 - 87
Jan 25, 2020
OKST @ TA&M
73 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+51.6% more
Oklahoma State: 15.3
vs
Texas A&M: 10.1
Rebounding (L5)
+10.6% more
Oklahoma State: 41.3
vs
Texas A&M: 37.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.4%
Oklahoma State: 36.6%
vs
Texas A&M: 33.2%
Blocks (L5)
+24.2% more
Texas A&M: 3.9
vs
Oklahoma State: 3.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TA&M Score
80.0
63
OKST Score
82.0
87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.6 / 33.2
27.0 / 26.0
Assists
14.8 / 17.7
13.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.0 / 3.9
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
44.4 / 47.3
48.0 / 32.0
Free Throw %
68.6 / 69.7
73.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
41.3 / 37.4
42.0 / 39.0
Steals
9.1 / 10.7
10.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
15.3 / 10.1
9.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TA&M
Advantage
22-12-0
(64.7%)
Margin: 7.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
OKST
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TA&M
Advantage
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 7.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
OKST
16-19-0
(45.7%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
TA&M
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2%
Total +/-: +2.0
OKST
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +2.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OKST
TA&M
OKST
TA&M
ML
60%
21-14
67%
20-10
66%
21-11
54%
15-13
ATS
57%
20-15
67%
20-10
66%
21-11
54%
15-13
TTL
57%
20-15
70%
21-9
100%
32-0
100%
28-0