Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Mountain Hawks @ Mountaineers LEH @ WVU

LEHIGH

MOUNTAIN HAWKSLEH

1-1  |  Road

47
FINAL
Sun, Nov 9 • 3:00 PM ET
WVU Coliseum
View Odds Details →

WEST VIRGINIA

MOUNTAINEERSWVU

2-0  |  Home

69
AI Model Win Probability
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
100%
📊
MOUNTAINEERS
0%
MOUNTAIN HAWKS --
MOUNTAINEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
127.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
WEST VIRGINIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (West Virginia)
Mountain HawksLEH (-3.5) 0 MountaineersWVU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mountain Hawks Cover

38.2%

Mountaineers Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WVU -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WVU)

LEH By 1-7 points

21.6%

LEH By 8-14 points

10.7%

WVU By 1-7 points

27.2%

WVU By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
62
LEHIGH
65
WEST VIRGINIA
Simulated Score
62
LEHIGH
78
WEST VIRGINIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Mountaineers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Mountaineers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Mountaineers (+17.5) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Mountaineers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u139.5 Win
Proj Total: 127.0
D
Sim u139.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 9, 2025 LEH @ WVU 47 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +20.0% more
Lehigh: 15.3 vs West Virginia: 12.3
Turnovers (L5) +15.7% more
Lehigh: 13.5 vs West Virginia: 11.4
Rebounding (L5) +12.7% more
Lehigh: 38.3 vs West Virginia: 33.5
Steals (L5) +11.6% more
Lehigh: 7.5 vs West Virginia: 6.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LEH Score 62.0 47
WVU Score 65.0 69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.3 / 33.7 37.0 / 33.0
Assists 12.3 / 15.3 11.0 / 8.0
Blocks 3.4 / 3.8 1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 41.5 / 47.2 47.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 68.6 / 68.3 64.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 33.5 / 38.3 38.0 / 25.0
Steals 6.7 / 7.5 13.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 11.4 / 13.5 13.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
5%MONEY95%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
57%MONEY43%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
8%MONEY92%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LEH
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: -1.1 ATS +/-: +1.0
WVU Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LEH Advantage
18-14-1 (56.3%)
Margin: -1.1 ATS +/-: +1.0
WVU
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
LEH
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5% Total +/-: +4.5
WVU
13-21-1
O: 38.2% / U: 61.8% Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WVU
LEH
WVU
LEH
ML
63% 22-13
56% 19-15
76% 26-8
68% 23-11
ATS
60% 21-14
56% 19-15
76% 26-8
68% 23-11
TTL
40% 14-21
76% 26-8
100% 34-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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