Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Trailblazers @ Sun Devils UTU @ ASU

UTAH TECH

TRAILBLAZERSUTU

2-1  |  Road

66
FINAL
Sun, Nov 9 • 3:00 PM ET
Desert Financial Arena
View Odds Details →

ARIZONA STATE

SUN DEVILSASU

1-0  |  Home

81
AI Model Win Probability
TRAILBLAZERS
0%
📊
SUN DEVILS
100%
TRAILBLAZERS --
SUN DEVILS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
171.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
UTAH TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Utah Tech)
TrailblazersUTU (-3.5) 0 Sun DevilsASU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Trailblazers Cover

61.8%

Sun Devils Cover

38.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UTU -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTU)

UTU By 1-7 points

27.2%

UTU By 8-14 points

20.1%

ASU By 1-7 points

21.6%

ASU By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
87
UTAH TECH
84
ARIZONA STATE
Simulated Score
61
UTAH TECH
82
ARIZONA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Trailblazers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Sun Devils Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Trailblazers (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Sun Devils (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 171.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 9, 2025 UTU @ ASU 66 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +28.2% more
Utah Tech: 7.0 vs Arizona State: 5.0
Rebounding (L5) +11.7% more
Utah Tech: 38.1 vs Arizona State: 33.7
Assists (L5) +30.1% more
Arizona State: 13.0 vs Utah Tech: 10.0
Blocks (L5) +21.7% more
Arizona State: 4.7 vs Utah Tech: 3.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTU Score 87.0 66
ASU Score 84.0 81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.6 / 29.1 38.0 / 30.0
Assists 13.0 / 10.0 19.0 / 13.0
Blocks 4.7 / 3.9 0.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 44.7 / 42.3 45.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 73.2 / 71.7 75.0 / 59.0
Rebounding 33.7 / 38.1 41.0 / 36.0
Steals 5.0 / 7.0 7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 12.0 / 12.7 8.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
13%MONEY87%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
51%MONEY49%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
95%MONEY5%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTU Advantage
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: +1.8
ASU
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: -2.0 ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTU
19-12-0 (61.3%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: +1.8
ASU Advantage
20-12-1 (62.5%)
Margin: -2.0 ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
UTU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.1
ASU
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5% Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ASU
UTU
ASU
UTU
ML
52% 17-16
68% 23-11
68% 21-10
62% 21-13
ATS
52% 17-16
65% 22-12
68% 21-10
62% 21-13
TTL
64% 21-12
65% 22-12
100% 31-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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