Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Mean Green @ Ramblers UNT @ LUC

NORTH TEXAS

MEAN GREENUNT

2-0  |  Road

64
FINAL
Sun, Nov 9 • 5:00 PM ET
Now Arena
View Odds Details →

LOYOLA CHICAGO

RAMBLERSLUC

1-1  |  Home

62
AI Model Win Probability
MEAN GREEN
100%
📊
RAMBLERS
0%
MEAN GREEN --
RAMBLERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
130.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Loyola Chicago)
Mean GreenUNT (-3.5) 0 RamblersLUC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mean Green Cover

42.1%

Ramblers Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LUC -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LUC)

UNT By 1-7 points

23.0%

UNT By 8-14 points

12.2%

LUC By 1-7 points

26.8%

LUC By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
64
NORTH TEXAS
66
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Simulated Score
68
NORTH TEXAS
73
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Ramblers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Ramblers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Ramblers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Ramblers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 130.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 9, 2025 UNT @ LUC 64 - 62
Jan 2, 2021 UNT @ LUC 49 - 57
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +42.5% more
Loyola Chicago: 6.6 vs North Texas: 4.6
Assists (L5) +19.7% more
Loyola Chicago: 16.6 vs North Texas: 13.8
Free Throw % (L5) +6.3%
Loyola Chicago: 74.2% vs North Texas: 67.9%
Steals (L5) +50.5% more
North Texas: 9.4 vs Loyola Chicago: 4.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNT Score 64.0 64
LUC Score 66.0 62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.2 / 42.4 19.0 / 27.0
Assists 16.6 / 13.8 12.0 / 8.0
Blocks 6.6 / 4.6 2.0 / 11.0
Field Goal % 42.8 / 48.6 33.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 74.2 / 67.9 68.0 / 81.0
Rebounding 31.0 / 32.8 40.0 / 41.0
Steals 4.7 / 9.4 5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 10.4 / 10.8 13.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
42%MONEY58%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
38%MONEY62%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
57%MONEY43%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNT Advantage
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: 3.5 ATS +/-: -0.7
LUC
9-24-0 (27.3%)
Margin: -9.0 ATS +/-: -4.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNT Advantage
17-14-0 (54.8%)
Margin: 3.5 ATS +/-: -0.7
LUC
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: -9.0 ATS +/-: -4.7
⚖️ Over/Under
UNT
15-16-0
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: -0.2
LUC
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6% Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LUC
UNT
LUC
UNT
ML
55% 18-15
70% 23-10
50% 16-16
59% 19-13
ATS
64% 21-12
52% 17-16
50% 16-16
59% 19-13
TTL
76% 25-8
67% 22-11
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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