MANHATTAN
JASPERSMAN
1-0 | Road
83
USC
TROJANSUSC
1-0 | Home
114
AI Model Win Probability
JASPERS
100%
TROJANS
0%
JASPERS
--
TROJANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
USC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (USC)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around USC -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (USC)
MAN By 1-7 points
21.6%
MAN By 8-14 points
10.7%
USC By 1-7 points
27.2%
USC By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Manhattan
77
MANHATTAN
USC
80
USC
Simulated Score
Manhattan
60
MANHATTAN
USC
75
USC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Trojans
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Trojans
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Trojans (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Trojans (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 9, 2025
MAN @ USC
83 - 114
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+154.1% more
USC: 5.9
vs
Manhattan: 2.3
Turnovers (L5)
+49.1% more
USC: 13.1
vs
Manhattan: 8.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+12.1%
Manhattan: 79.4%
vs
USC: 67.3%
Steals (L5)
+11.0% more
Manhattan: 6.8
vs
USC: 6.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MAN Score
77.0
83
USC Score
80.0
114
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.7 / 35.4
38.0 / 27.0
Assists
17.7 / 18.9
24.0 / 11.0
Blocks
5.9 / 2.3
7.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
48.2 / 48.7
51.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
67.3 / 79.4
75.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
38.5 / 43.0
55.0 / 32.0
Steals
6.1 / 6.8
6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 8.8
12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MAN
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -4.9
ATS +/-: -3.1
USC
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MAN
11-19-1
(36.7%)
Margin: -4.9
ATS +/-: -3.1
USC
Advantage
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
MAN
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: +2.4
USC
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
USC
MAN
USC
MAN
ML
52%
16-15
52%
16-15
58%
18-13
68%
21-10
ATS
68%
21-10
52%
16-15
58%
18-13
69%
22-10
TTL
68%
21-10
77%
24-7
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
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