OMAHA
MAVERICKSOMA
0-2 | Road
74
COLORADO STATE
RAMSCSU
1-0 | Home
97
AI Model Win Probability
MAVERICKS
100%
RAMS
0%
MAVERICKS
--
RAMS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
COLORADO STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Colorado State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CSU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CSU)
OMA By 1-7 points
24.3%
OMA By 8-14 points
13.7%
CSU By 1-7 points
26.2%
CSU By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Omaha
66
OMAHA
Colorado State
67
COLORADO STATE
Simulated Score
Omaha
65
OMAHA
Colorado State
78
COLORADO STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rams
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rams
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rams (+14.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Rams (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u153.5
Loss
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 9, 2025
OMA @ CSU
74 - 97
Nov 13, 2019
OMA @ CSU
65 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+64.5% more
Colorado State: 17.1
vs
Omaha: 10.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+11.3%
Colorado State: 42.3%
vs
Omaha: 30.9%
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.0%
Colorado State: 80.7%
vs
Omaha: 71.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.8%
Colorado State: 51.7%
vs
Omaha: 44.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OMA Score
66.0
74
CSU Score
67.0
97
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.3 / 30.9
38.0 / 36.0
Assists
17.1 / 10.4
17.0 / 14.0
Blocks
1.8 / 2.2
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
51.7 / 44.9
55.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
80.7 / 71.7
85.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
37.4 / 35.4
43.0 / 21.0
Steals
3.4 / 8.0
3.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
9.7 / 13.2
11.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OMA
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: +0.1
CSU
Advantage
21-13-0
(61.8%)
Margin: 4.6
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OMA
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: +0.1
CSU
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 4.6
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
OMA
14-14-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.6
CSU
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CSU
OMA
CSU
OMA
ML
56%
19-15
79%
26-7
65%
20-11
67%
22-11
ATS
62%
21-13
76%
25-8
65%
20-11
67%
22-11
TTL
56%
19-15
73%
24-9
100%
31-0
100%
33-0
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