Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Tigers @ Bison GRAM @ HOW

GRAMBLING

TIGERSGRAM

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73
FINAL
Sun, Nov 9 • 6:00 PM ET
Burr Gymnasium
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HOWARD

BISONHOW

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70
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
📊
BISON
100%
TIGERS --
BISON --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
GRAMBLING
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Grambling)
TigersGRAM (-3.5) 0 BisonHOW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

81.6%

Bison Cover

18.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GRAM -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GRAM)

GRAM By 1-7 points

24.3%

GRAM By 8-14 points

26.8%

HOW By 1-7 points

12.2%

HOW By 8-14 points

4.0%

AI Model Projected Score
75
GRAMBLING
66
HOWARD
Simulated Score
75
GRAMBLING
78
HOWARD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Tigers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bison Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Tigers (-4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Bison (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u152.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim u152.5 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 9, 2025 GRAM @ HOW 73 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +46.6% more
Grambling: 5.3 vs Howard: 2.8
Steals (L5) +39.6% more
Grambling: 10.2 vs Howard: 6.1
Free Throw % (L5) +3.4%
Grambling: 76.7% vs Howard: 73.2%
Assists (L5) +48.8% more
Howard: 17.2 vs Grambling: 11.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GRAM Score 75.0 73
HOW Score 66.0 70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 41.7 / 30.0 47.0 / 50.0
Assists 17.2 / 11.5 15.0 / 9.0
Blocks 2.8 / 5.3 1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 46.1 / 41.8 52.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 73.2 / 76.7 81.0 / 68.0
Rebounding 34.3 / 34.5 27.0 / 23.0
Steals 6.1 / 10.2 10.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 13.5 / 14.5 19.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
12%TICKETS88%
12%MONEY88%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
41%MONEY59%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
70%MONEY30%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GRAM
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
HOW Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +4.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GRAM
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
HOW Advantage
22-8-1 (73.3%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +4.9
⚖️ Over/Under
GRAM
10-21-0
O: 32.3% / U: 67.7% Total +/-: -4.0
HOW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOW
GRAM
HOW
GRAM
ML
59% 20-14
68% 21-10
71% 22-9
68% 17-8
ATS
59% 20-14
61% 19-12
71% 22-9
68% 17-8
TTL
62% 21-13
58% 18-13
100% 31-0
100% 25-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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