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SOUTHERN MISS

GOLDEN EAGLESUSM

1-1  |  Road

79
FINAL
Sun, Nov 9 • 6:30 PM ET
Colonial Life Arena
View Odds Details →

SOUTH CAROLINA

GAMECOCKSSC

1-0  |  Home

83
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN EAGLES
100%
📊
GAMECOCKS
0%
GOLDEN EAGLES --
GAMECOCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
SOUTH CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (South Carolina)
Golden EaglesUSM (-3.5) 0 GamecocksSC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Eagles Cover

21.2%

Gamecocks Cover

78.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SC -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SC)

USM By 1-7 points

13.7%

USM By 8-14 points

4.8%

SC By 1-7 points

25.3%

SC By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
69
SOUTHERN MISS
77
SOUTH CAROLINA
Simulated Score
65
SOUTHERN MISS
72
SOUTH CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Gamecocks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Gamecocks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Gamecocks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Gamecocks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 9, 2025 USM @ SC 79 - 83
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.4%
South Carolina: 35.6% vs Southern Miss: 32.2%
Blocks (L5) +44.6% more
Southern Miss: 4.1 vs South Carolina: 2.3
Steals (L5) +33.1% more
Southern Miss: 8.0 vs South Carolina: 5.4
Turnovers (L5) +16.4% more
Southern Miss: 13.3 vs South Carolina: 11.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
USM Score 69.0 79
SC Score 77.0 83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.6 / 32.2 37.0 / 23.0
Assists 15.7 / 15.1 18.0 / 10.0
Blocks 2.3 / 4.1 2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 42.7 / 44.7 39.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 75.6 / 77.2 81.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 34.8 / 39.5 39.0 / 43.0
Steals 5.4 / 8.0 5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 11.1 / 13.3 15.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
16%MONEY84%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
48%MONEY52%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
20%MONEY80%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
USM Advantage
19-16-0 (54.3%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
SC
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
USM Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
SC
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
USM
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4% Total +/-: +3.2
SC
14-16-2
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SC
USM
SC
USM
ML
72% 23-9
53% 18-16
68% 21-10
73% 24-9
ATS
69% 22-10
59% 20-14
68% 21-10
74% 25-9
TTL
50% 16-16
68% 23-11
100% 31-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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