Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Neal Pionk
#4 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Lukas Dostal
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neal Pionk | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Lukas Dostal | None-None | 1.00 | 0.958 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
1.00
--
Save %
0.958
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
JETS
0%
DUCKS
100%
JETS
--
DUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Winnipeg)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around WPG -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)
WPG By 1 goal
17.5%
WPG By 2-3 goals
37.2%
ANA By 1 goal
6.6%
ANA By 2-3 goals
3.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Winnipeg
3
WINNIPEG
Anaheim
1
ANAHEIM
Simulated Score
Winnipeg
2
WINNIPEG
Anaheim
4
ANAHEIM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Ducks
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Jets (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Ducks (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 10, 2026
ANA @ WPG
4 - 1
Feb 27, 2026
WPG @ ANA
4 - 5
Nov 9, 2025
WPG @ ANA
1 - 4
Apr 16, 2025
ANA @ WPG
1 - 2
Jan 2, 2025
ANA @ WPG
4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+21.2% more
Winnipeg: 19.1
vs
Anaheim: 15.1
Hits (L5)
+10.8% more
Winnipeg: 20.8
vs
Anaheim: 18.6
Faceoff % (L5)
+7.1%
Winnipeg: 52.2%
vs
Anaheim: 45.1%
Power Play % (L5)
+6.4%
Anaheim: 16.4%
vs
Winnipeg: 10.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WPG Score
3.0
1
ANA Score
1.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.1 / 19.1
14.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
45.1 / 52.2
46.4 / 53.6
Hits
18.6 / 20.8
20.0 / 21.0
Power Play %
16.4 / 10.0
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.7 / 29.5
21.0 / 24.0
Takeaways
4.9 / 5.1
4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ANA
WPG
ANA
WPG
ML
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
ATS
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
100%
4-0
TTL
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
50%
2-2