DETROIT
PISTONSDET
7-2 | Road
111
PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
6-3 | Home
108
AI Model Win Probability
PISTONS
0%
76ERS
100%
PISTONS
--
76ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
202.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DET -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
DET By 1-7 points
23.0%
DET By 8-14 points
27.2%
PHI By 1-7 points
10.7%
PHI By 8-14 points
3.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
106
DETROIT
Philadelphia
96
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Detroit
118
DETROIT
Philadelphia
105
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pistons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pistons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pistons (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Pistons (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u234.0
Win
Proj Total: 202.0
D
Sim
u234.0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 4, 2026
DET @ PHI
116 - 93
Mar 12, 2026
PHI @ DET
109 - 131
Nov 14, 2025
PHI @ DET
105 - 114
Nov 9, 2025
DET @ PHI
111 - 108
Feb 7, 2025
PHI @ DET
112 - 125
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+28.0% more
Detroit: 8.9
vs
Philadelphia: 6.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.2%
Detroit: 51.5%
vs
Philadelphia: 48.3%
Blocks (L5)
+49.0% more
Philadelphia: 5.9
vs
Detroit: 3.9
Turnovers (L5)
+21.4% more
Philadelphia: 13.4
vs
Detroit: 11.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
106.0
111
PHI Score
96.0
108
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.1 / 30.5
36.0 / 43.0
Assists
23.6 / 23.9
22.0 / 23.0
Blocks
5.9 / 3.9
6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
48.3 / 51.5
43.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
65.2 / 57.5
86.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
39.4 / 40.6
44.0 / 37.0
Steals
6.4 / 8.9
8.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
13.4 / 11.0
20.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
DET
PHI
DET
ML
63%
69-40
55%
64-53
48%
45-48
49%
47-49
ATS
65%
71-38
53%
60-54-3
48%
45-48
49%
47-49
TTL
55%
60-49
60%
70-46-1
100%
93-0
100%
96-0
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