UTAH
MAMMOTHUTA
9-6-0 | Road
2
OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
7-5-3 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Dmitri Simashev
#26 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Artem Zub
#2 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dmitri Simashev | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Artem Zub | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
--
--
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
MAMMOTH
100%
SENATORS
0%
MAMMOTH
--
SENATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Ottawa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around OTT -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)
UTA By 1 goal
12.1%
UTA By 2-3 goals
9.3%
OTT By 1 goal
19.7%
OTT By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
2
UTAH
Ottawa
3
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
Utah
2
UTAH
Ottawa
4
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Senators
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Senators
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Senators (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Senators (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Push
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 7, 2026
OTT @ UTA
1 - 3
Nov 9, 2025
UTA @ OTT
2 - 4
Jan 26, 2025
UTA @ OTT
1 - 3
Oct 22, 2024
OTT @ UTA
4 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+59.7% more
Ottawa: 16.9
vs
Utah: 10.6
Hits (L5)
+24.9% more
Ottawa: 22.8
vs
Utah: 18.3
Takeaways (L5)
+20.5% more
Ottawa: 5.5
vs
Utah: 4.5
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.1%
Ottawa: 55.3%
vs
Utah: 50.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTA Score
2.0
2
OTT Score
3.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.9 / 10.6
11.0 / 9.0
Faceoff %
55.3 / 50.1
61.7 / 38.3
Hits
22.8 / 18.3
28.0 / 13.0
Power Play %
707.0 / 609.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
21.1 / 28.0
25.0 / 31.0
Takeaways
5.5 / 4.5
5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
UTA
OTT
UTA
ML
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
ATS
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
TTL
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
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