AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
100%
ORANGE
0%
HORNETS
--
ORANGE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SYRACUSE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Syracuse)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SYR -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SYR)
DSU By 1-7 points
24.3%
DSU By 8-14 points
13.7%
SYR By 1-7 points
26.2%
SYR By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Delaware State
78
DELAWARE STATE
Syracuse
79
SYRACUSE
Simulated Score
Delaware State
55
DELAWARE STATE
Syracuse
88
SYRACUSE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Orange
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Orange
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Orange (+26.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Orange (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o156.5
Loss
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 8, 2025
DSU @ SYR
43 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+42.1% more
Syracuse: 3.3
vs
Delaware State: 2.4
Assists (L5)
+41.8% more
Syracuse: 15.2
vs
Delaware State: 10.7
Rebounding (L5)
+9.5% more
Syracuse: 35.0
vs
Delaware State: 32.0
Turnovers (L5)
+24.6% more
Delaware State: 14.1
vs
Syracuse: 10.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DSU Score
78.0
43
SYR Score
79.0
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.4 / 41.8
38.0 / 7.0
Assists
15.2 / 10.7
19.0 / 7.0
Blocks
3.3 / 2.4
12.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
47.4 / 47.4
58.0 / 22.0
Free Throw %
69.6 / 72.7
52.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
35.0 / 32.0
41.0 / 38.0
Steals
7.4 / 8.4
10.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.7 / 14.1
14.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DSU
8-23-0
(25.8%)
Margin: -9.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
SYR
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DSU
9-17-0
(34.6%)
Margin: -9.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
SYR
Advantage
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
DSU
7-19-0
O: 26.9% / U: 73.1%
Total +/-: -5.3
SYR
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SYR
DSU
SYR
DSU
ML
78%
25-7
60%
18-12
69%
22-10
75%
18-6
ATS
69%
22-10
60%
18-12
69%
22-10
72%
18-7
TTL
66%
21-11
57%
17-13
100%
32-0
100%
25-0