Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Dragons @ Hawks DREX @ JOES

DREXEL

DRAGONSDREX

1-0  |  Road

65
FINAL
Sat, Nov 8 • 1:00 PM ET
Michael J. Hagan '85 Arena
View Odds Details →

SAINT JOSEPH'S

HAWKSJOES

1-0  |  Home

76
AI Model Win Probability
DRAGONS
0%
📊
HAWKS
100%
DRAGONS --
HAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
SAINT JOSEPH'S
Book Spread
--
Book Line
DragonsDREX (-3.5) 0 HawksJOES (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dragons Cover

38.2%

Hawks Cover

61.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around JOES +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JOES)

DREX By 1-7 points

27.2%

DREX By 8-14 points

20.1%

JOES By 1-7 points

21.6%

JOES By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
69
DREXEL
66
SAINT JOSEPH'S
Simulated Score
68
DREXEL
72
SAINT JOSEPH'S
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Dragons Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hawks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hawks (+9.5) Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim Hawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u139.5 Loss
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim u139.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 8, 2025 DREX @ JOES 65 - 76
Nov 17, 2021 DREX @ JOES 78 - 75
Dec 17, 2020 JOES @ DREX 77 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +26.6% more
Drexel: 17.8 vs Saint Joseph's: 13.1
Turnovers (L5) +24.9% more
Drexel: 12.0 vs Saint Joseph's: 9.0
Blocks (L5) +13.0% more
Drexel: 6.2 vs Saint Joseph's: 5.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +10.3%
Drexel: 36.3% vs Saint Joseph's: 26.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DREX Score 69.0 65
JOES Score 66.0 76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 26.1 / 36.3 33.0 / 32.0
Assists 13.1 / 17.8 7.0 / 10.0
Blocks 5.4 / 6.2 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 39.4 / 48.3 38.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 81.2 / 66.3 87.0 / 64.0
Rebounding 39.9 / 40.5 39.0 / 42.0
Steals 7.1 / 7.6 6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 9.0 / 12.0 10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
21%MONEY79%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
63%MONEY37%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
77%MONEY23%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DREX
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +0.3
JOES Advantage
24-12-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 2.9 ATS +/-: +1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DREX
18-13-1 (58.1%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +0.3
JOES Advantage
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 2.9 ATS +/-: +1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
DREX
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -2.8
JOES
11-23-0
O: 32.4% / U: 67.7% Total +/-: -3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JOES
DREX
JOES
DREX
ML
51% 18-17
58% 19-14
61% 20-13
81% 26-6
ATS
60% 21-14
70% 23-10
61% 20-13
81% 26-6
TTL
54% 19-16
48% 16-17
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Kansas Shakes Up Offensive Line: Amir Herring Promoted to Starti…
si 2 days, 6 hours ago
Melvin Council Jr. Wins Eligibility Appeal, Returns to Kansas fo…
kwch 4 days ago
Kansas Jayhawks Set Program Record with 706 Yards, Blank Middle …
si 5 days, 1 hour ago
Kansas Jayhawks Lose RB Yasin Willis Indefinitely, Backfield Dep…
si 1 week, 3 days ago
Princeton Basketball Standout A'mire Gill Pledges to Miami (Ohio…
yahoo 1 week, 4 days ago