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SOUTH FLORIDA

BULLSUSF

1-0  |  Road

95
FINAL
Sat, Nov 8 • 1:30 PM ET
Mohegan Sun Arena
View Odds Details →

GEORGE WASHINGTON

REVOLUTIONARIESGW

1-0  |  Home

99
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
100%
📊
REVOLUTIONARIES
0%
BULLS --
REVOLUTIONARIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (George Washington)
BullsUSF (-3.5) 0 RevolutionariesGW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulls Cover

24.2%

Revolutionaries Cover

75.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GW -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GW)

USF By 1-7 points

15.3%

USF By 8-14 points

5.8%

GW By 1-7 points

26.2%

GW By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
67
SOUTH FLORIDA
74
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
68
SOUTH FLORIDA
72
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Revolutionaries Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Revolutionaries Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Revolutionaries (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Revolutionaries (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u159.5 Loss
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim u159.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 8, 2025 USF @ GW 95 - 99
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +39.0% more
George Washington: 15.4 vs South Florida: 11.1
Field Goal % (L5) +3.3%
George Washington: 45.1% vs South Florida: 41.8%
Blocks (L5) +28.4% more
South Florida: 3.9 vs George Washington: 2.8
Steals (L5) +25.6% more
South Florida: 10.5 vs George Washington: 7.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
USF Score 67.0 95
GW Score 74.0 99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 26.5 / 30.0 38.0 / 18.0
Assists 12.1 / 14.3 16.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.8 / 3.9 3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 45.1 / 41.8 55.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 63.3 / 74.3 73.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 35.7 / 39.7 39.0 / 37.0
Steals 7.8 / 10.5 5.0 / 13.0
Turnovers 15.4 / 11.1 21.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
69%MONEY31%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
58%MONEY42%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
83%MONEY17%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
USF Advantage
25-9-0 (73.5%)
Margin: 11.7 ATS +/-: +1.9
GW
19-16-0 (54.3%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
USF Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 11.7 ATS +/-: +1.9
GW
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
USF
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +1.0
GW
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GW
USF
GW
USF
ML
63% 22-13
61% 20-13
60% 21-14
52% 16-15
ATS
69% 24-11
61% 20-13
60% 21-14
52% 16-15
TTL
60% 21-14
52% 17-16
100% 35-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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