Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Catamounts @ Blue Devils WCU @ DUKE

WESTERN CAROLINA

CATAMOUNTSWCU

0-1  |  Road

54
FINAL
Sat, Nov 8 • 1:30 PM ET
Cameron Indoor Stadium
View Odds Details →

DUKE

BLUE DEVILSDUKE

1-0  |  Home

95
AI Model Win Probability
CATAMOUNTS
100%
📊
BLUE DEVILS
0%
CATAMOUNTS --
BLUE DEVILS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
DUKE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Duke)
CatamountsWCU (-3.5) 0 Blue DevilsDUKE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Catamounts Cover

38.2%

Blue Devils Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DUKE -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DUKE)

WCU By 1-7 points

21.6%

WCU By 8-14 points

10.7%

DUKE By 1-7 points

27.2%

DUKE By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
77
WESTERN CAROLINA
80
DUKE
Simulated Score
62
WESTERN CAROLINA
88
DUKE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blue Devils Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blue Devils Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blue Devils (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Blue Devils (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 8, 2025 WCU @ DUKE 54 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +25.0% more
Duke: 16.2 vs Western Carolina: 13.0
Steals (L5) +22.9% more
Duke: 6.5 vs Western Carolina: 5.3
Blocks (L5) +18.1% more
Duke: 3.7 vs Western Carolina: 3.1
Free Throw % (L5) +14.1%
Duke: 78.5% vs Western Carolina: 64.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WCU Score 77.0 54
DUKE Score 80.0 95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 42.9 / 32.6 31.0 / 15.0
Assists 16.2 / 13.0 21.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.7 / 3.1 4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 47.4 / 39.3 47.0 / 31.0
Free Throw % 78.5 / 64.5 76.0 / 55.0
Rebounding 35.3 / 36.9 51.0 / 42.0
Steals 6.5 / 5.3 7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 9.1 / 14.4 10.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
0%MONEY100%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
13%TICKETS87%
10%MONEY90%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
74%MONEY26%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WCU
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: +1.8
DUKE Advantage
35-3-0 (92.1%)
Margin: 18.0 ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WCU
14-15-0 (48.3%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: +1.8
DUKE Advantage
20-18-0 (52.6%)
Margin: 18.0 ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
WCU
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3% Total +/-: +2.5
DUKE
14-24-0
O: 36.8% / U: 63.2% Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DUKE
WCU
DUKE
WCU
ML
71% 27-11
63% 19-11
73% 24-9
76% 22-7
ATS
79% 30-8
73% 22-8
73% 24-9
77% 23-7
TTL
47% 18-20
67% 20-10
100% 33-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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