AI Model Win Probability
STAGS
0%
HIGHLANDERS
100%
STAGS
--
HIGHLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+5.0
NJIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NJIT +5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NJIT)
FAIR By 1-7 points
27.2%
FAIR By 8-14 points
23.0%
NJIT By 1-7 points
18.6%
NJIT By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Fairfield
83
FAIRFIELD
NJIT
78
NJIT
Simulated Score
Fairfield
72
FAIRFIELD
NJIT
67
NJIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Stags
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Stags
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Highlanders (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +5.0
D
Sim
Stags (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o146.5
Loss
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 8, 2025
FAIR @ NJIT
74 - 53
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+30.1% more
Fairfield: 7.5
vs
NJIT: 5.2
Blocks (L5)
+23.0% more
Fairfield: 3.5
vs
NJIT: 2.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+17.8%
Fairfield: 80.2%
vs
NJIT: 62.5%
Assists (L5)
+12.4% more
Fairfield: 11.6
vs
NJIT: 10.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FAIR Score
83.0
74
NJIT Score
78.0
53
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.8 / 23.4
23.0 / 35.0
Assists
10.2 / 11.6
7.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.7 / 3.5
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
43.9 / 41.2
32.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
62.5 / 80.2
67.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
34.2 / 34.8
35.0 / 54.0
Steals
5.2 / 7.5
9.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
11.6 / 9.9
16.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FAIR
Advantage
21-13-0
(61.8%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +0.7
NJIT
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FAIR
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +0.7
NJIT
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
FAIR
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6%
Total +/-: -0.2
NJIT
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NJIT
FAIR
NJIT
FAIR
ML
78%
25-7
55%
18-15
62%
20-12
61%
20-13
ATS
72%
23-9
48%
16-17
62%
20-12
61%
20-13
TTL
47%
15-17
48%
16-17
100%
32-0
100%
33-0