FAIRFIELD

STAGSFAIR

0-1  |  Road

74
FINAL
Sat, Nov 8 • 2:00 PM ET
Joel & Diane Bloom Wellness and Events Center
View Odds Details →

NJIT

HIGHLANDERSNJIT

1-0  |  Home

53
AI Model Win Probability
STAGS
0%
📊
HIGHLANDERS
100%
STAGS --
HIGHLANDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+5.0
NJIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
StagsFAIR (-3.5) 0 HighlandersNJIT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Stags Cover

30.9%

Highlanders Cover

69.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NJIT +5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NJIT)

FAIR By 1-7 points

27.2%

FAIR By 8-14 points

23.0%

NJIT By 1-7 points

18.6%

NJIT By 8-14 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
83
FAIRFIELD
78
NJIT
Simulated Score
72
FAIRFIELD
67
NJIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Stags Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Stags Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Highlanders (+5.5) Win
Proj Spread: +5.0
D
Sim Stags (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o146.5 Loss
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 8, 2025 FAIR @ NJIT 74 - 53
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +30.1% more
Fairfield: 7.5 vs NJIT: 5.2
Blocks (L5) +23.0% more
Fairfield: 3.5 vs NJIT: 2.7
Free Throw % (L5) +17.8%
Fairfield: 80.2% vs NJIT: 62.5%
Assists (L5) +12.4% more
Fairfield: 11.6 vs NJIT: 10.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FAIR Score 83.0 74
NJIT Score 78.0 53
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.8 / 23.4 23.0 / 35.0
Assists 10.2 / 11.6 7.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.7 / 3.5 5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 43.9 / 41.2 32.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 62.5 / 80.2 67.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 34.2 / 34.8 35.0 / 54.0
Steals 5.2 / 7.5 9.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 11.6 / 9.9 16.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
89%TICKETS11%
67%MONEY33%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
79%MONEY21%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
38%MONEY62%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FAIR Advantage
21-13-0 (61.8%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +0.7
NJIT
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FAIR
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +0.7
NJIT Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
FAIR
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6% Total +/-: -0.2
NJIT
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3% Total +/-: -2.5