Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Purple Eagles @ Bearcats NIA @ BING

NIAGARA

PURPLE EAGLESNIA

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67
FINAL
Sat, Nov 8 • 2:00 PM ET
Events Center (Binghamton)
View Odds Details →

BINGHAMTON

BEARCATSBING

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59
AI Model Win Probability
PURPLE EAGLES
100%
📊
BEARCATS
0%
PURPLE EAGLES --
BEARCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BINGHAMTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Binghamton)
Purple EaglesNIA (-3.5) 0 BearcatsBING (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Purple Eagles Cover

46.0%

Bearcats Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BING -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BING)

NIA By 1-7 points

24.3%

NIA By 8-14 points

13.7%

BING By 1-7 points

26.2%

BING By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
69
NIAGARA
70
BINGHAMTON
Simulated Score
68
NIAGARA
72
BINGHAMTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bearcats Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bearcats Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bearcats (+3.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Bearcats (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o138.5 Loss
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim u138.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 8, 2025 NIA @ BING 67 - 59
Nov 29, 2024 NIA @ BING 65 - 62
Dec 19, 2023 NIA @ BING 69 - 74
Dec 21, 2022 BING @ NIA 67 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +41.9% more
Binghamton: 3.7 vs Niagara: 2.6
Rebounding (L5) +19.7% more
Binghamton: 34.7 vs Niagara: 29.0
Assists (L5) +9.2% more
Binghamton: 11.1 vs Niagara: 10.1
Steals (L5) +17.3% more
Niagara: 6.6 vs Binghamton: 5.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NIA Score 69.0 67
BING Score 70.0 59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 25.0 / 33.4 25.0 / 32.0
Assists 11.1 / 10.1 9.0 / 7.0
Blocks 3.7 / 2.6 7.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 41.0 / 45.5 38.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 67.5 / 73.8 70.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 34.7 / 29.0 39.0 / 37.0
Steals 5.5 / 6.6 3.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 13.3 / 13.4 9.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
21%TICKETS79%
29%MONEY71%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
24%MONEY76%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
12%MONEY88%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NIA Advantage
8-22-0 (26.7%)
Margin: -7.4 ATS +/-: -1.1
BING
8-23-0 (25.8%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NIA
13-16-0 (44.8%)
Margin: -7.4 ATS +/-: -1.1
BING Advantage
14-13-0 (51.8%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
NIA
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -0.7
BING
15-12-0
O: 55.6% / U: 44.4% Total +/-: +5.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BING
NIA
BING
NIA
ML
67% 20-10
55% 16-13
57% 17-13
72% 21-8
ATS
73% 22-8
69% 20-9
57% 17-13
72% 21-8
TTL
70% 21-9
55% 16-13
100% 30-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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