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NORTHERN KENTUCKY

NORSENKU

1-0  |  Road

56
FINAL
Sat, Nov 8 • 3:00 PM ET
Food City Center
View Odds Details →

TENNESSEE

VOLUNTEERSTENN

1-0  |  Home

95
AI Model Win Probability
NORSE
100%
📊
VOLUNTEERS
0%
NORSE --
VOLUNTEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
TENNESSEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Tennessee)
NorseNKU (-3.5) 0 VolunteersTENN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Norse Cover

1.4%

Volunteers Cover

98.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TENN -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TENN)

NKU By 1-7 points

1.1%

NKU By 8-14 points

0.1%

TENN By 1-7 points

5.8%

TENN By 8-14 points

15.3%

AI Model Projected Score
66
NORTHERN KENTUCKY
88
TENNESSEE
Simulated Score
59
NORTHERN KENTUCKY
78
TENNESSEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Volunteers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Volunteers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Volunteers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim Volunteers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 8, 2025 NKU @ TENN 56 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +3.1%
Tennessee: 71.0% vs Northern Kentucky: 67.9%
Steals (L5) +50.9% more
Northern Kentucky: 9.4 vs Tennessee: 4.6
Blocks (L5) +17.2% more
Northern Kentucky: 3.4 vs Tennessee: 2.8
Assists (L5) +14.1% more
Northern Kentucky: 18.4 vs Tennessee: 15.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NKU Score 66.0 56
TENN Score 88.0 95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.6 / 39.5 41.0 / 30.0
Assists 15.8 / 18.4 24.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.8 / 3.4 2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 43.8 / 50.5 52.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 71.0 / 67.9 79.0 / 38.0
Rebounding 40.5 / 41.7 47.0 / 25.0
Steals 4.6 / 9.4 10.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 12.9 / 13.7 12.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
3%MONEY97%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
14%TICKETS86%
49%MONEY51%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
86%TICKETS14%
66%MONEY34%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NKU
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 5.7 ATS +/-: -0.5
TENN Advantage
25-12-0 (67.6%)
Margin: 9.3 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NKU
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: 5.7 ATS +/-: -0.5
TENN Advantage
17-19-1 (47.2%)
Margin: 9.3 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
NKU
21-10-0
O: 67.7% / U: 32.3% Total +/-: +5.4
TENN
18-19-0
O: 48.7% / U: 51.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TENN
NKU
TENN
NKU
ML
46% 17-20
53% 18-16
64% 21-12
65% 22-12
ATS
54% 20-17
56% 19-15
64% 21-12
65% 22-12
TTL
76% 28-9
68% 23-11
100% 33-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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