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UNC ASHEVILLE

BULLDOGSUNCA

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90
FINAL
Sat, Nov 8 • 3:00 PM ET
Jack and Ruth Ann Hill Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

GEORGIA SOUTHERN

EAGLESGASO

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93
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
📊
EAGLES
0%
BULLDOGS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Georgia Southern)
BulldogsUNCA (-3.5) 0 EaglesGASO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulldogs Cover

42.1%

Eagles Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GASO -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GASO)

UNCA By 1-7 points

23.0%

UNCA By 8-14 points

12.2%

GASO By 1-7 points

26.8%

GASO By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
73
UNC ASHEVILLE
75
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Simulated Score
68
UNC ASHEVILLE
72
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 8, 2025 UNCA @ GASO 90 - 93
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +57.7% more
Georgia Southern: 13.8 vs UNC Asheville: 8.8
Steals (L5) +21.8% more
Georgia Southern: 8.7 vs UNC Asheville: 7.2
Rebounding (L5) +13.6% more
Georgia Southern: 36.0 vs UNC Asheville: 31.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.8%
Georgia Southern: 35.8% vs UNC Asheville: 30.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNCA Score 73.0 90
GASO Score 75.0 93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.8 / 30.1 32.0 / 31.0
Assists 13.8 / 8.8 10.0 / 10.0
Blocks 2.4 / 5.1 1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 45.1 / 44.0 45.0 / 55.0
Free Throw % 62.9 / 67.2 72.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 36.0 / 31.7 32.0 / 39.0
Steals 8.7 / 7.2 10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 12.3 / 13.0 9.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
9%MONEY91%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
25%MONEY75%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
75%MONEY25%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNCA
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -0.2
GASO Advantage
21-16-0 (56.8%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNCA Advantage
15-14-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -0.2
GASO
17-18-0 (48.6%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
UNCA
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3% Total +/-: -2.8
GASO
18-17-0
O: 51.4% / U: 48.6% Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GASO
UNCA
GASO
UNCA
ML
56% 20-16
53% 16-14
58% 19-14
63% 19-11
ATS
64% 23-13
57% 17-13
58% 19-14
63% 19-11
TTL
61% 22-14
60% 18-12
100% 33-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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