LAFAYETTE
LEOPARDSLAF
1-1 | Road
60
TEXAS
LONGHORNSTEX
0-1 | Home
97
AI Model Win Probability
LEOPARDS
100%
LONGHORNS
0%
LEOPARDS
--
LONGHORNS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
156.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Texas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TEX -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)
LAF By 1-7 points
23.0%
LAF By 8-14 points
12.2%
TEX By 1-7 points
26.8%
TEX By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Lafayette
77
LAFAYETTE
Texas
79
TEXAS
Simulated Score
Lafayette
58
LAFAYETTE
Texas
85
TEXAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Longhorns
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Longhorns
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Longhorns (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Longhorns (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 156.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 8, 2025
LAF @ TEX
60 - 97
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.2%
Texas: 75.9%
vs
Lafayette: 68.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.1%
Texas: 34.5%
vs
Lafayette: 32.4%
Assists (L5)
+36.4% more
Lafayette: 14.7
vs
Texas: 9.3
Steals (L5)
+35.1% more
Lafayette: 7.6
vs
Texas: 4.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAF Score
77.0
60
TEX Score
79.0
97
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.5 / 32.4
39.0 / 25.0
Assists
9.3 / 14.7
21.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.1 / 3.0
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
41.3 / 44.0
52.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
75.9 / 68.6
76.0 / 65.0
Rebounding
36.3 / 37.2
43.0 / 25.0
Steals
4.9 / 7.6
10.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
11.9 / 11.2
9.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAF
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -5.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
TEX
Advantage
21-15-0
(58.3%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAF
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -5.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
TEX
Advantage
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
LAF
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +1.0
TEX
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEX
LAF
TEX
LAF
ML
58%
21-15
53%
17-15
56%
19-15
59%
19-13
ATS
56%
20-16
56%
18-14
56%
19-15
59%
19-13
TTL
64%
23-13
50%
16-16
100%
34-0
100%
32-0
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