Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Hawks @ Explorers MONM @ LAS

MONMOUTH

HAWKSMONM

1-0  |  Road

60
FINAL
Sat, Nov 8 • 3:30 PM ET
John Glaser Arena
View Odds Details →

LA SALLE

EXPLORERSLAS

1-0  |  Home

73
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
0%
📊
EXPLORERS
100%
HAWKS --
EXPLORERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
128.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
LA SALLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
HawksMONM (-3.5) 0 ExplorersLAS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hawks Cover

42.1%

Explorers Cover

57.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAS +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAS)

MONM By 1-7 points

26.8%

MONM By 8-14 points

18.6%

LAS By 1-7 points

23.0%

LAS By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
65
MONMOUTH
63
LA SALLE
Simulated Score
69
MONMOUTH
72
LA SALLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Hawks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Explorers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Explorers (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim Explorers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u143.5 Win
Proj Total: 128.0
D
Sim u143.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 8, 2025 MONM @ LAS 60 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +44.8% more
Monmouth: 6.7 vs La Salle: 3.7
Assists (L5) +12.6% more
Monmouth: 15.8 vs La Salle: 13.8
Turnovers (L5) +17.9% more
La Salle: 11.7 vs Monmouth: 9.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +10.6%
La Salle: 48.7% vs Monmouth: 38.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MONM Score 65.0 60
LAS Score 63.0 73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 48.7 / 38.1 33.0 / 24.0
Assists 13.8 / 15.8 17.0 / 13.0
Blocks 3.7 / 6.7 0.0 / 11.0
Field Goal % 44.0 / 44.4 37.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 74.3 / 71.5 75.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 38.9 / 39.6 43.0 / 35.0
Steals 8.5 / 8.6 9.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 11.7 / 9.9 12.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
60%MONEY40%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
62%MONEY38%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
6%MONEY94%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MONM Advantage
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: +1.9
LAS
9-23-0 (28.1%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MONM Advantage
17-15-1 (53.1%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: +1.9
LAS
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
MONM
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5% Total +/-: +0.1
LAS
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAS
MONM
LAS
MONM
ML
69% 22-10
62% 21-13
69% 22-10
64% 21-12
ATS
78% 25-7
62% 21-13
69% 22-10
64% 21-12
TTL
66% 21-11
59% 20-14
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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