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IU INDIANAPOLIS

JAGUARSIUIN

0-2  |  Road

80
FINAL
Sat, Nov 8 • 5:00 PM ET
Hinkle Fieldhouse
View Odds Details →

BUTLER

BULLDOGSBUT

1-0  |  Home

112
AI Model Win Probability
JAGUARS
100%
📊
BULLDOGS
0%
JAGUARS --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
BUTLER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Butler)
JaguarsIUIN (-3.5) 0 BulldogsBUT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jaguars Cover

42.1%

Bulldogs Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BUT -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUT)

IUIN By 1-7 points

23.0%

IUIN By 8-14 points

12.2%

BUT By 1-7 points

26.8%

BUT By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
74
IU INDIANAPOLIS
76
BUTLER
Simulated Score
62
IU INDIANAPOLIS
75
BUTLER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs (+20.5) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u193.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim u193.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 8, 2025 IUIN @ BUT 80 - 112
Nov 9, 2021 IUIN @ BUT 47 - 56
Nov 6, 2019 IUIN @ BUT 47 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +35.6% more
Butler: 39.5 vs IU Indianapolis: 29.1
Blocks (L5) +27.3% more
Butler: 2.2 vs IU Indianapolis: 1.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.2%
Butler: 40.2% vs IU Indianapolis: 36.0%
Steals (L5) +55.3% more
IU Indianapolis: 9.5 vs Butler: 4.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
IUIN Score 74.0 80
BUT Score 76.0 112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.2 / 36.0 21.0 / 22.0
Assists 14.8 / 17.5 17.0 / 15.0
Blocks 2.2 / 1.7 11.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 47.9 / 46.6 51.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 70.9 / 75.0 67.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 39.5 / 29.1 59.0 / 32.0
Steals 4.3 / 9.5 13.0 / 15.0
Turnovers 10.7 / 10.5 17.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
3%MONEY97%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
38%MONEY62%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
30%MONEY70%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IUIN
--
BUT Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IUIN
--
BUT Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
IUIN
--
BUT
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUT
IUIN
BUT
IUIN
ML
62% 20-12
69% 22-10
65% 20-11
78% 25-7
ATS
56% 18-14
66% 21-11
65% 20-11
78% 25-7
TTL
50% 16-16
50% 16-16
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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