UALBANY
GREAT DANESUALB
0-1 | Road
62
MASSACHUSETTS
MINUTEMENMASS
0-1 | Home
83
AI Model Win Probability
GREAT DANES
0%
MINUTEMEN
100%
GREAT DANES
--
MINUTEMEN
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+7.0
MASSACHUSETTS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MASS +7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MASS)
UALB By 1-7 points
26.2%
UALB By 8-14 points
25.3%
MASS By 1-7 points
15.3%
MASS By 8-14 points
5.8%
AI Model Projected Score
UAlbany
71
UALBANY
Massachusetts
64
MASSACHUSETTS
Simulated Score
UAlbany
65
UALBANY
Massachusetts
78
MASSACHUSETTS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Great Danes
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Minutemen
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Minutemen (+10.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +7.0
D
Sim
Minutemen (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 8, 2025
UALB @ MASS
62 - 83
Nov 7, 2023
UALB @ MASS
71 - 92
Dec 5, 2022
UALB @ MASS
73 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+55.6% more
UAlbany: 5.1
vs
Massachusetts: 2.3
Turnovers (L5)
+10.8% more
UAlbany: 14.8
vs
Massachusetts: 13.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.5%
UAlbany: 30.4%
vs
Massachusetts: 25.9%
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.6%
UAlbany: 68.4%
vs
Massachusetts: 64.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UALB Score
71.0
62
MASS Score
64.0
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
25.9 / 30.4
26.0 / 23.0
Assists
13.7 / 12.6
15.0 / 12.0
Blocks
2.3 / 5.1
1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
38.4 / 37.9
47.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
64.8 / 68.4
70.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
35.2 / 38.2
39.0 / 27.0
Steals
9.5 / 8.0
7.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
13.2 / 14.8
13.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UALB
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
MASS
Advantage
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 2.6
ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UALB
Advantage
11-18-0
(37.9%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
MASS
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: 2.6
ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
UALB
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +0.3
MASS
20-12-0
O: 62.5% / U: 37.5%
Total +/-: +4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MASS
UALB
MASS
UALB
ML
44%
14-18
55%
17-14
68%
21-10
71%
22-9
ATS
47%
15-17
77%
24-7
68%
21-10
72%
23-9
TTL
56%
18-14
61%
19-12
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
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