Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Royals @ Wildcats QUC @ VILL

QUEENS UNIVERSITY

ROYALSQUC

1-1  |  Road

74
FINAL
Sat, Nov 8 • 7:00 PM ET
Finneran Pavilion
View Odds Details →

VILLANOVA

WILDCATSVILL

0-1  |  Home

94
AI Model Win Probability
ROYALS
100%
📊
WILDCATS
0%
ROYALS --
WILDCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
VILLANOVA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Villanova)
RoyalsQUC (-3.5) 0 WildcatsVILL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Royals Cover

24.2%

Wildcats Cover

75.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around VILL -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VILL)

QUC By 1-7 points

15.3%

QUC By 8-14 points

5.8%

VILL By 1-7 points

26.2%

VILL By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
64
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
71
VILLANOVA
Simulated Score
60
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
78
VILLANOVA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wildcats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wildcats (+17.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Wildcats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Loss
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 8, 2025 QUC @ VILL 74 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +18.9% more
Villanova: 41.2 vs Queens University: 34.7
Blocks (L5) +44.4% more
Queens University: 3.5 vs Villanova: 2.0
Turnovers (L5) +33.7% more
Queens University: 13.9 vs Villanova: 9.2
Steals (L5) +26.8% more
Queens University: 5.4 vs Villanova: 3.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
QUC Score 64.0 74
VILL Score 71.0 94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.8 / 34.6 21.0 / 47.0
Assists 11.2 / 14.5 17.0 / 16.0
Blocks 2.0 / 3.5 0.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 39.8 / 47.9 51.0 / 57.0
Free Throw % 66.9 / 69.1 72.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 41.2 / 34.7 42.0 / 20.0
Steals 3.9 / 5.4 10.0 / 1.0
Turnovers 9.2 / 13.9 8.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
2%MONEY98%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
12%TICKETS88%
22%MONEY78%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
47%MONEY53%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
QUC
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: +0.6
VILL Advantage
24-9-0 (72.7%)
Margin: 5.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
QUC
14-19-1 (42.4%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: +0.6
VILL Advantage
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: 5.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
QUC
22-12-0
O: 64.7% / U: 35.3% Total +/-: +5.9
VILL
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4% Total +/-: +1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VILL
QUC
VILL
QUC
ML
44% 14-18
71% 25-10
72% 23-9
71% 24-10
ATS
56% 18-14
86% 30-5
72% 23-9
71% 24-10
TTL
41% 13-19
47% 16-18-1
100% 32-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
si 5 hours, 55 minutes ago
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
si 1 day, 5 hours ago
Kentucky's AP Poll Exit Exposes Uphill Battle for National Respe…
yahoo 3 days ago
Duke Dominates ACC Preseason Poll, But Wide-Open Race Looms Behi…
yahoo 3 days, 6 hours ago
Arizona's Gio Richardson Exits Cincinnati Game After Brief Retur…
headtopics 4 days, 17 hours ago