Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wildcats @ Utes WEB @ UTAH

WEBER STATE

WILDCATSWEB

1-0  |  Road

89
FINAL
Sat, Nov 8 • 7:00 PM ET
Jon M. Huntsman Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH

UTESUTAH

1-0  |  Home

92
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
100%
📊
UTES
0%
WILDCATS --
UTES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Utah)
WildcatsWEB (-3.5) 0 UtesUTAH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

46.0%

Utes Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTAH -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)

WEB By 1-7 points

24.3%

WEB By 8-14 points

13.7%

UTAH By 1-7 points

26.2%

UTAH By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
74
WEBER STATE
75
UTAH
Simulated Score
65
WEBER STATE
78
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Utes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Utes Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Utes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Utes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 8, 2025 WEB @ UTAH 89 - 92
Dec 14, 2019 WEB @ UTAH 49 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +42.9% more
Utah: 2.8 vs Weber State: 2.0
Turnovers (L5) +14.0% more
Utah: 11.2 vs Weber State: 9.8
Free Throw % (L5) +14.1%
Weber State: 79.6% vs Utah: 65.5%
Steals (L5) +13.9% more
Weber State: 8.0 vs Utah: 6.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WEB Score 74.0 89
UTAH Score 75.0 92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.7 / 33.3 28.0 / 30.0
Assists 15.7 / 16.4 12.0 / 12.0
Blocks 2.8 / 2.0 6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 44.8 / 45.9 40.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 65.5 / 79.6 66.0 / 61.0
Rebounding 40.5 / 45.3 49.0 / 52.0
Steals 6.9 / 8.0 3.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 11.2 / 9.8 13.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
38%MONEY62%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
23%TICKETS77%
49%MONEY51%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
50%MONEY50%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WEB Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
UTAH
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WEB Advantage
16-14-0 (53.3%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
UTAH
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
WEB
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +3.7
UTAH
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8% Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
WEB
UTAH
WEB
ML
56% 18-14
73% 22-8
67% 20-10
73% 22-8
ATS
56% 18-14
63% 19-11
67% 20-10
74% 23-8
TTL
41% 13-19
83% 25-5
100% 30-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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