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ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF

GOLDEN LIONSUAPB

0-2  |  Road

72
FINAL
Sat, Nov 8 • 9:00 PM ET
Gersten Pavilion
View Odds Details →

LOYOLA MARYMOUNT

LIONSLMU

2-0  |  Home

94
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN LIONS
100%
📊
LIONS
0%
GOLDEN LIONS --
LIONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Loyola Marymount)
Golden LionsUAPB (-3.5) 0 LionsLMU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Lions Cover

42.1%

Lions Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LMU -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LMU)

UAPB By 1-7 points

23.0%

UAPB By 8-14 points

12.2%

LMU By 1-7 points

26.8%

LMU By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
67
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
69
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
Simulated Score
65
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
82
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Lions Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lions Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Lions (+20.5) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Lions (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u157.5 Loss
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim u157.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 8, 2025 UAPB @ LMU 72 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +100.0% more
Loyola Marymount: 4.5 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 2.2
Assists (L5) +39.5% more
Loyola Marymount: 17.3 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 12.4
Rebounding (L5) +12.5% more
Loyola Marymount: 37.7 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 33.5
Field Goal % (L5) +11.8%
Loyola Marymount: 50.7% vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 38.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UAPB Score 67.0 72
LMU Score 69.0 94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.4 / 33.0 46.0 / 26.0
Assists 17.3 / 12.4 23.0 / 11.0
Blocks 4.5 / 2.2 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 50.7 / 38.9 48.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 74.8 / 70.0 57.0 / 100.0
Rebounding 37.7 / 33.5 35.0 / 37.0
Steals 7.1 / 8.8 8.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 10.8 / 15.7 6.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
23%MONEY77%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
22%MONEY78%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
46%MONEY54%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UAPB
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -3.8 ATS +/-: +1.1
LMU Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 2.2 ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UAPB
13-16-1 (44.8%)
Margin: -3.8 ATS +/-: +1.1
LMU Advantage
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: 2.2 ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UAPB
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: -0.2
LMU
15-16-0
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LMU
UAPB
LMU
UAPB
ML
53% 17-15
74% 23-8
50% 16-16
73% 19-7
ATS
47% 15-17
73% 22-8-1
50% 16-16
73% 19-7
TTL
62% 20-12
68% 21-10
100% 32-0
100% 26-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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