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CHATTANOOGA

MOCSUTC

1-1  |  Road

69
FINAL
Sat, Nov 8 • 9:00 PM ET
Thomas & Mack Center
View Odds Details →

UNLV

REBELSUNLV

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101
AI Model Win Probability
MOCS
100%
📊
REBELS
0%
MOCS --
REBELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
168.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
UNLV
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (UNLV)
MocsUTC (-3.5) 0 RebelsUNLV (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mocs Cover

8.1%

Rebels Cover

91.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNLV -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNLV)

UTC By 1-7 points

5.8%

UTC By 8-14 points

1.4%

UNLV By 1-7 points

16.9%

UNLV By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
77
CHATTANOOGA
91
UNLV
Simulated Score
65
CHATTANOOGA
78
UNLV
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rebels Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rebels Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rebels (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim Rebels (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 168.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 8, 2025 UTC @ UNLV 69 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +62.3% more
UNLV: 3.7 vs Chattanooga: 2.3
Turnovers (L5) +53.5% more
UNLV: 14.4 vs Chattanooga: 9.4
Rebounding (L5) +10.3% more
UNLV: 37.7 vs Chattanooga: 34.2
Assists (L5) +31.3% more
Chattanooga: 18.9 vs UNLV: 13.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTC Score 77.0 69
UNLV Score 91.0 101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.6 / 35.9 36.0 / 33.0
Assists 13.0 / 18.9 23.0 / 16.0
Blocks 3.7 / 2.3 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 40.8 / 43.9 56.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 72.4 / 71.4 73.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 37.7 / 34.2 42.0 / 20.0
Steals 6.8 / 7.6 7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 14.4 / 9.4 8.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
10%MONEY90%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
37%MONEY63%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
79%MONEY21%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTC
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: 1.4 ATS +/-: -3.7
UNLV Advantage
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTC
12-17-0 (41.4%)
Margin: 1.4 ATS +/-: -3.7
UNLV Advantage
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
UTC
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8% Total +/-: +2.8
UNLV
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2% Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNLV
UTC
UNLV
UTC
ML
50% 17-17
48% 15-16
59% 20-14
53% 16-14
ATS
65% 22-12
52% 16-15
59% 20-14
55% 17-14
TTL
62% 21-13
77% 24-7
100% 34-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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