Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Huskies @ Tritons HCU @ UCSD

HOUSTON CHRISTIAN

HUSKIESHCU

1-0  |  Road

60
FINAL
Sat, Nov 8 • 10:00 PM ET
LionTree Arena
View Odds Details →

UC SAN DIEGO

TRITONSUCSD

1-0  |  Home

78
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
100%
📊
TRITONS
0%
HUSKIES --
TRITONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
120.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
UC SAN DIEGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (UC San Diego)
HuskiesHCU (-3.5) 0 TritonsUCSD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Huskies Cover

11.5%

Tritons Cover

88.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UCSD -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCSD)

HCU By 1-7 points

8.0%

HCU By 8-14 points

2.2%

UCSD By 1-7 points

20.1%

UCSD By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
54
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
66
UC SAN DIEGO
Simulated Score
70
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
75
UC SAN DIEGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tritons Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tritons Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tritons (-6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim Tritons (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 120.0
D
Sim u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 8, 2025 HCU @ UCSD 60 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +18.2% more
UC San Diego: 39.0 vs Houston Christian: 33.0
Assists (L5) +16.0% more
UC San Diego: 14.9 vs Houston Christian: 12.9
Free Throw % (L5) +13.3%
UC San Diego: 75.1% vs Houston Christian: 61.8%
Steals (L5) +9.7% more
UC San Diego: 9.2 vs Houston Christian: 8.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HCU Score 54.0 60
UCSD Score 66.0 78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.8 / 30.0 38.0 / 32.0
Assists 14.9 / 12.9 18.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.0 / 6.3 1.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 46.3 / 40.5 50.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 75.1 / 61.8 77.0 / 36.0
Rebounding 39.0 / 33.0 38.0 / 29.0
Steals 9.2 / 8.4 9.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 9.7 / 12.6 12.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
10%MONEY90%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
21%TICKETS79%
45%MONEY55%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
34%MONEY66%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HCU
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.9
UCSD Advantage
23-11-0 (67.7%)
Margin: 5.4 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HCU
14-15-1 (48.3%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.9
UCSD Advantage
17-15-0 (53.1%)
Margin: 5.4 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
HCU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: -0.1
UCSD
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5% Total +/-: -6.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCSD
HCU
UCSD
HCU
ML
56% 19-15
68% 21-10
65% 22-12
81% 25-6
ATS
50% 17-17
58% 18-13
65% 22-12
81% 26-6
TTL
62% 21-13
68% 21-10
100% 34-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
UConn Men's Basketball 2026-27 TV Schedule Revealed: Up to Seven…
courant 1 day, 5 hours ago
Dan Hurley's UConn Overhaul: How 10 New Faces Fit National Title…
courant 1 week, 5 days ago
UConn Men's Basketball Faces Nation's Toughest Nonconference Sch…
yahoo 2 weeks, 6 days ago
Bismarck's Eaglestaff Commits to UC San Diego for Extra Collegia…
kfyrtv 1 month, 2 weeks ago
UConn Adds Shaw with Deep Basketball Roots and Veteran Presence …
courant 1 month, 3 weeks ago