Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Sooners @ Bulldogs OU @ GONZ

OKLAHOMA

SOONERSOU

1-0  |  Road

68
FINAL
Sat, Nov 8 • 10:30 PM ET
Spokane Arena
View Odds Details →

GONZAGA

BULLDOGSGONZ

1-0  |  Home

83
AI Model Win Probability
SOONERS
100%
📊
BULLDOGS
0%
SOONERS --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
177.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
GONZAGA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Gonzaga)
SoonersOU (-3.5) 0 BulldogsGONZ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Sooners Cover

46.0%

Bulldogs Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GONZ -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GONZ)

OU By 1-7 points

24.3%

OU By 8-14 points

13.7%

GONZ By 1-7 points

26.2%

GONZ By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
88
OKLAHOMA
89
GONZAGA
Simulated Score
73
OKLAHOMA
76
GONZAGA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 177.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 8, 2025 OU @ GONZ 68 - 83
Mar 22, 2021 OU @ GONZ 71 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +30.4% more
Gonzaga: 19.3 vs Oklahoma: 14.8
Rebounding (L5) +15.0% more
Gonzaga: 40.3 vs Oklahoma: 35.1
Free Throw % (L5) +5.3%
Gonzaga: 82.7% vs Oklahoma: 77.4%
Field Goal % (L5) +4.3%
Gonzaga: 51.4% vs Oklahoma: 47.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OU Score 88.0 68
GONZ Score 89.0 83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.7 / 33.8 27.0 / 23.0
Assists 19.3 / 14.8 22.0 / 5.0
Blocks 3.2 / 4.4 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 51.4 / 47.1 46.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 82.7 / 77.4 45.0 / 89.0
Rebounding 40.3 / 35.1 46.0 / 39.0
Steals 7.5 / 7.0 8.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 10.7 / 10.6 7.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
43%MONEY57%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
51%MONEY49%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
77%MONEY23%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OU
21-16-0 (56.8%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: +0.9
GONZ Advantage
31-4-0 (88.6%)
Margin: 18.1 ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OU
17-19-1 (47.2%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: +0.9
GONZ Advantage
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 18.1 ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
OU
19-18-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7% Total +/-: +1.8
GONZ
10-25-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4% Total +/-: -5.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GONZ
OU
GONZ
OU
ML
71% 25-10
78% 28-8
69% 20-9
59% 20-14
ATS
69% 24-11
72% 26-10
69% 20-9
59% 20-14
TTL
57% 20-15
75% 27-9
100% 29-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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