CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
6-2 | Road
122
CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
6-3 | Home
128
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
0%
CAVALIERS
100%
BULLS
--
CAVALIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
237.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+5.0
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CLE +5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CHI By 1-7 points
27.2%
CHI By 8-14 points
23.0%
CLE By 1-7 points
18.6%
CLE By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
121
CHICAGO
Cleveland
116
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Chicago
107
CHICAGO
Cleveland
112
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bulls
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cavaliers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cavaliers (+8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +5.0
D
Sim
Cavaliers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u239.0
Loss
Proj Total: 237.0
D
Sim
u239.0
Win
Proj Total: 219.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 19, 2026
CLE @ CHI
115 - 110
Dec 19, 2025
CHI @ CLE
136 - 125
Dec 17, 2025
CLE @ CHI
111 - 127
Nov 8, 2025
CHI @ CLE
122 - 128
Oct 9, 2025
CLE @ CHI
112 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+12.1% more
Chicago: 11.7
vs
Cleveland: 10.3
Steals (L5)
+36.8% more
Cleveland: 9.5
vs
Chicago: 6.9
Blocks (L5)
+16.4% more
Cleveland: 4.5
vs
Chicago: 3.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.6%
Cleveland: 41.0%
vs
Chicago: 35.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
121.0
122
CLE Score
116.0
128
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.0 / 35.4
37.0 / 45.0
Assists
24.7 / 23.0
32.0 / 27.0
Blocks
4.5 / 3.8
7.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.3 / 47.3
49.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
64.6 / 59.5
73.0 / 92.0
Rebounding
35.3 / 35.4
39.0 / 49.0
Steals
9.5 / 6.9
6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
10.3 / 11.7
9.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
CHI
CLE
CHI
ML
60%
69-46
56%
54-42
56%
55-44
57%
46-35
ATS
67%
75-37-3
65%
62-33-1
56%
55-44
57%
46-35
TTL
59%
68-47
58%
56-40
100%
99-0
100%
81-0
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