PHOENIX
SUNSPHX
4-5 | Road
114
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
3-5 | Home
103
AI Model Win Probability
SUNS
100%
CLIPPERS
0%
SUNS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
235.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
PHX By 1-7 points
9.3%
PHX By 8-14 points
2.7%
LAC By 1-7 points
21.6%
LAC By 8-14 points
27.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Phoenix
112
PHOENIX
LA
123
LA
Simulated Score
Phoenix
110
PHOENIX
LA
115
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Clippers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Clippers (-4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Clippers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o227.5
Loss
Proj Total: 235.0
D
Sim
u227.5
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 1, 2026
LAC @ PHX
117 - 93
Nov 8, 2025
PHX @ LAC
114 - 103
Nov 6, 2025
LAC @ PHX
102 - 115
Oct 24, 2025
PHX @ LAC
102 - 129
Mar 4, 2025
LAC @ PHX
117 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+11.4% more
Phoenix: 8.4
vs
LA: 7.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.5%
Phoenix: 38.5%
vs
LA: 36.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.3%
Phoenix: 47.2%
vs
LA: 44.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHX Score
112.0
114
LAC Score
123.0
103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.0 / 38.5
30.0 / 42.0
Assists
20.0 / 21.1
26.0 / 30.0
Blocks
2.9 / 2.7
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
44.9 / 47.2
53.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
61.1 / 62.4
61.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
33.2 / 33.1
27.0 / 42.0
Steals
7.4 / 8.4
5.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
13.7 / 13.0
11.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHX
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHX
Advantage
50-38-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.6
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
PHX
LAC
PHX
ML
60%
59-40
57%
60-45
55%
45-37
51%
45-43
ATS
66%
65-33-1
58%
59-43-3
55%
45-37
51%
45-43
TTL
59%
58-40-1
59%
61-42-2
100%
82-0
100%
88-0
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