TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
5-4 | Road
120
PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
5-3 | Home
130
AI Model Win Probability
RAPTORS
100%
76ERS
0%
RAPTORS
--
76ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
235.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHI -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
TOR By 1-7 points
21.6%
TOR By 8-14 points
10.7%
PHI By 1-7 points
27.2%
PHI By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
116
TORONTO
Philadelphia
119
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Toronto
108
TORONTO
Philadelphia
112
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
76ers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
76ers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
76ers (+5)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
76ers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u237.0
Loss
Proj Total: 235.0
D
Sim
u237.0
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 12, 2026
PHI @ TOR
115 - 102
Jan 11, 2026
PHI @ TOR
115 - 116
Nov 19, 2025
TOR @ PHI
121 - 112
Nov 8, 2025
TOR @ PHI
120 - 130
Mar 30, 2025
TOR @ PHI
127 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+32.4% more
Philadelphia: 13.1
vs
Toronto: 9.9
Steals (L5)
+12.2% more
Philadelphia: 7.6
vs
Toronto: 6.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.4%
Philadelphia: 38.2%
vs
Toronto: 32.8%
Rebounding (L5)
+13.5% more
Toronto: 37.2
vs
Philadelphia: 32.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
116.0
120
PHI Score
119.0
130
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.2 / 32.8
29.0 / 42.0
Assists
19.9 / 21.4
31.0 / 29.0
Blocks
4.3 / 4.6
9.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
47.0 / 48.2
51.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
58.3 / 64.6
79.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
32.2 / 37.2
54.0 / 38.0
Steals
7.6 / 6.8
4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 9.9
14.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR
Advantage
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
TOR
PHI
TOR
ML
63%
69-40
55%
57-47
48%
45-48
55%
48-39
ATS
65%
71-38
61%
62-40-2
48%
45-48
55%
48-39
TTL
55%
60-49
60%
62-42
100%
93-0
100%
87-0
Contextual Game News
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Boston Celtics' Young Wings Face Huge Opportunity After Jaylen B…
Phillies' 2027 Forecast: Four Farmhands Ready to Step Up
Chicago Bulls Edge Phoenix Suns 124-117 in Preseason Opener