NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
6-6-2 | Road
5
NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
7-6-2 | Home
0
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Igor Shesterkin
#31 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
| Igor Shesterkin | None-None | 4.22 | 0.840 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
0.00 Ldr
GAA
4.22
1.000 Ldr
Save %
0.840
1 Ldr
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
100%
RANGERS
0%
ISLANDERS
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYR -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYR)
NYI By 1 goal
12.1%
NYI By 2-3 goals
9.3%
NYR By 1 goal
19.7%
NYR By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
New York
4
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
New York
2
NEW YORK
New York
3
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rangers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rangers
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rangers (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Rangers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 6, 2026
NYI @ NYR
2 - 5
Jan 29, 2026
NYI @ NYR
2 - 1
Jan 28, 2026
NYR @ NYI
2 - 5
Dec 27, 2025
NYR @ NYI
0 - 2
Nov 8, 2025
NYI @ NYR
5 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+55.7% more
New York: 23.9
vs
New York: 15.4
Takeaways (L5)
+46.1% more
New York: 5.8
vs
New York: 4.0
Blocked Shots (L5)
+12.4% more
New York: 15.7
vs
New York: 14.0
Power Play % (L5)
+2.4%
New York: 12.6%
vs
New York: 10.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYI Score
3.0
5
NYR Score
4.0
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.7 / 14.0
14.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
54.2 / 56.0
48.2 / 51.8
Hits
23.9 / 15.4
14.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
12.6 / 10.2
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
27.3 / 30.2
33.0 / 26.0
Takeaways
5.8 / 4.0
5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
NYI
NYR
NYI
ML
80%
4-1
67%
2-1
40%
2-3
67%
2-1
ATS
80%
4-1
33%
1-2
60%
3-2
33%
1-2
TTL
60%
3-2
100%
2-0-1
60%
3-2
100%
2-0-1
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
Islanders Lock Up Czech Blueliner Vladimir Dravecky with Three-Y…
Rangers' Shesterkin and Fox Shine in ESPN Top 100 Despite Rankin…
Islanders Defy Doubters with Four Stars on ESPN Top 100 List