PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
9-4-2 | Road
1
NEW JERSEY
DEVILSNJ
10-4-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Arturs Silovs
#37 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jake Allen
#34 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arturs Silovs | None-None | 0.92 | 0.958 | -- |
| Jake Allen | None-None | 0.92 | 0.971 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
0.92
GAA
0.92
0.958
Save %
Ldr 0.971
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PENGUINS
100%
DEVILS
0%
PENGUINS
--
DEVILS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEW JERSEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (New Jersey)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NJ -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NJ)
PIT By 1 goal
12.1%
PIT By 2-3 goals
9.3%
NJ By 1 goal
19.7%
NJ By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Pittsburgh
2
PITTSBURGH
New Jersey
3
NEW JERSEY
Simulated Score
Pittsburgh
2
PITTSBURGH
New Jersey
3
NEW JERSEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Devils
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Devils
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Devils (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Devils (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 9, 2026
PIT @ NJ
5 - 2
Feb 26, 2026
NJ @ PIT
1 - 4
Jan 8, 2026
NJ @ PIT
1 - 4
Nov 8, 2025
PIT @ NJ
1 - 2
Apr 11, 2025
PIT @ NJ
4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+42.0% more
New Jersey: 18.7
vs
Pittsburgh: 13.2
Blocked Shots (L5)
+27.9% more
New Jersey: 16.9
vs
Pittsburgh: 13.2
Power Play % (L5)
+38.3%
Pittsburgh: 48.5%
vs
New Jersey: 10.2%
Takeaways (L5)
+28.9% more
Pittsburgh: 5.1
vs
New Jersey: 3.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PIT Score
2.0
1
NJ Score
3.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.9 / 13.2
22.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
47.7 / 49.3
58.2 / 41.8
Hits
18.7 / 13.2
22.0 / 19.0
Power Play %
1018.0 / 4851.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.7 / 31.5
24.0 / 34.0
Takeaways
3.6 / 5.1
6.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NJ
PIT
NJ
PIT
ML
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
ATS
0%
0-3
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
TTL
0%
0-2-1
25%
1-3
50%
1-1-1
50%
2-2
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