Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Karel Vejmelka
#70 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Sam Montembeault
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karel Vejmelka | None-None | 6.00 | 0.739 | -- |
| Sam Montembeault | None-None | 2.00 | 0.926 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
6.00
GAA
Ldr 2.00
0.739
Save %
Ldr 0.926
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
MAMMOTH
0%
CANADIENS
100%
MAMMOTH
--
CANADIENS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
MONTREAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around MTL +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MTL)
UTA By 1 goal
19.7%
UTA By 2-3 goals
29.6%
MTL By 1 goal
12.1%
MTL By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
3
UTAH
Montreal
2
MONTREAL
Simulated Score
Utah
2
UTAH
Montreal
3
MONTREAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mammoth
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Canadiens
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Canadiens (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Canadiens (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 26, 2025
MTL @ UTA
4 - 3
Nov 8, 2025
UTA @ MTL
2 - 6
Jan 14, 2025
MTL @ UTA
5 - 3
Nov 26, 2024
UTA @ MTL
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+22.6% more
Utah: 28.5
vs
Montreal: 22.0
Takeaways (L5)
+13.8% more
Utah: 4.8
vs
Montreal: 4.1
Blocked Shots (L5)
+76.4% more
Montreal: 18.3
vs
Utah: 10.4
Power Play % (L5)
+23.0%
Montreal: 32.2%
vs
Utah: 9.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTA Score
3.0
2
MTL Score
2.0
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.3 / 10.4
13.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
56.0 / 50.2
50.0 / 50.0
Hits
19.6 / 16.4
25.0 / 22.0
Power Play %
3217.0 / 913.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
22.0 / 28.5
23.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
4.1 / 4.8
4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MTL
UTA
MTL
UTA
ML
50%
2-2
60%
3-2
50%
2-2
60%
3-2
ATS
50%
2-2
60%
3-2
100%
4-0
60%
3-2
TTL
25%
1-3
60%
3-2
75%
3-1
80%
4-1