ANAHEIM
DUCKSANA
9-3-1 | Road
4
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
7-3-3 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Petr Mrazek
#34 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Shea Theodore
#27 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petr Mrazek | None-None | 2.79 | 0.923 | -- |
| Shea Theodore | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.79
GAA
--
0.923
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
100%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
0%
DUCKS
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
ANA By 1 goal
12.1%
ANA By 2-3 goals
9.3%
VGK By 1 goal
19.7%
VGK By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Anaheim
3
ANAHEIM
Vegas
4
VEGAS
Simulated Score
Anaheim
2
ANAHEIM
Vegas
4
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Knights
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Golden Knights (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 2, 2026
ANA @ VGK
4 - 3
May 14, 2026
VGK @ ANA
5 - 1
May 10, 2026
VGK @ ANA
3 - 4
May 8, 2026
VGK @ ANA
6 - 2
May 6, 2026
ANA @ VGK
3 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+37.5% more
Vegas: 16.7
vs
Anaheim: 12.1
Faceoff % (L5)
+12.0%
Vegas: 57.4%
vs
Anaheim: 45.3%
Takeaways (L5)
+39.9% more
Anaheim: 4.9
vs
Vegas: 3.0
Power Play % (L5)
+16.8%
Anaheim: 24.6%
vs
Vegas: 7.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ANA Score
3.0
4
VGK Score
4.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.7 / 12.1
13.0 / 21.0
Faceoff %
57.4 / 45.3
55.4 / 44.6
Hits
17.7 / 18.9
17.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
7.9 / 24.6
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
29.7 / 28.6
39.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
3.0 / 4.9
13.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
ANA
VGK
ANA
ML
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
ATS
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
Contextual Game News
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