Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Lancers @ Panthers LONG @ PITT

LONGWOOD

LANCERSLONG

1-1  |  Road

60
FINAL
Fri, Nov 7 • 7:00 PM ET
Petersen Events Center
View Odds Details →

PITTSBURGH

PANTHERSPITT

2-0  |  Home

78
AI Model Win Probability
LANCERS
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
LANCERS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
84.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Pittsburgh)
LancersLONG (-3.5) 0 PanthersPITT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lancers Cover

8.1%

Panthers Cover

91.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PITT -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PITT)

LONG By 1-7 points

5.8%

LONG By 8-14 points

1.4%

PITT By 1-7 points

16.9%

PITT By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
35
LONGWOOD
49
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
63
LONGWOOD
78
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 84.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 7, 2025 LONG @ PITT 60 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +8.3%
Pittsburgh: 80.3% vs Longwood: 72.0%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.2%
Pittsburgh: 31.3% vs Longwood: 28.1%
Steals (L5) +23.2% more
Longwood: 10.7 vs Pittsburgh: 8.2
Turnovers (L5) +21.2% more
Longwood: 16.4 vs Pittsburgh: 12.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LONG Score 35.0 60
PITT Score 49.0 78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.3 / 28.1 40.0 / 20.0
Assists 12.3 / 12.9 16.0 / 10.0
Blocks 2.4 / 2.7 6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 41.9 / 47.0 42.0 / 32.0
Free Throw % 80.3 / 72.0 69.0 / 86.0
Rebounding 37.1 / 40.9 48.0 / 35.0
Steals 8.2 / 10.7 2.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 12.9 / 16.4 14.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
16%TICKETS84%
29%MONEY71%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
37%MONEY63%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LONG Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: +0.1
PITT
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: -1.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LONG
13-16-0 (44.8%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: +0.1
PITT Advantage
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: -1.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
LONG
17-12-0
O: 58.6% / U: 41.4% Total +/-: +2.7
PITT
17-15-1
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PITT
LONG
PITT
LONG
ML
58% 19-14
65% 20-11
45% 15-18
68% 21-10
ATS
64% 21-12
68% 21-10
45% 15-18
68% 21-10
TTL
61% 20-13
65% 20-11
100% 33-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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