STONEHILL
SKYHAWKSSTO
1-0 | Road
64
DEPAUL
BLUE DEMONSDEP
1-0 | Home
72
AI Model Win Probability
SKYHAWKS
100%
BLUE DEMONS
0%
SKYHAWKS
--
BLUE DEMONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
132.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
DEPAUL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (DePaul)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DEP -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEP)
STO By 1-7 points
16.9%
STO By 8-14 points
6.8%
DEP By 1-7 points
26.8%
DEP By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Stonehill
63
STONEHILL
DePaul
69
DEPAUL
Simulated Score
Stonehill
65
STONEHILL
DePaul
78
DEPAUL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blue Demons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Demons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blue Demons (+22.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Blue Demons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Sim
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 7, 2025
STO @ DEP
64 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+93.5% more
DePaul: 5.1
vs
Stonehill: 2.6
Steals (L5)
+40.0% more
DePaul: 8.7
vs
Stonehill: 6.2
Turnovers (L5)
+9.1% more
DePaul: 13.9
vs
Stonehill: 12.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+1.6%
DePaul: 66.9%
vs
Stonehill: 65.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STO Score
63.0
64
DEP Score
69.0
72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.1 / 32.7
21.0 / 39.0
Assists
15.6 / 15.1
14.0 / 16.0
Blocks
5.1 / 2.6
7.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
47.7 / 46.8
37.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
66.9 / 65.3
60.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
35.7 / 41.6
39.0 / 38.0
Steals
8.7 / 6.2
10.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
13.9 / 12.8
7.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STO
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -2.2
ATS +/-: +0.5
DEP
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STO
14-15-2
(48.3%)
Margin: -2.2
ATS +/-: +0.5
DEP
Advantage
18-12-2
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
STO
11-20-0
O: 35.5% / U: 64.5%
Total +/-: -4.0
DEP
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6%
Total +/-: -5.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEP
STO
DEP
STO
ML
59%
19-13
45%
15-18
80%
24-6
70%
23-10
ATS
50%
16-16
39%
13-20
80%
24-6
70%
23-10
TTL
53%
17-15
55%
18-15
100%
30-0
100%
33-0
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