COLUMBIA
LIONSCOLU
0-0 | Road
71
NEW HAVEN
CHARGERSNHVN
0-1 | Home
53
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
100%
CHARGERS
0%
LIONS
--
CHARGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
54.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
NEW HAVEN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (New Haven)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NHVN -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NHVN)
COLU By 1-7 points
23.0%
COLU By 8-14 points
12.2%
NHVN By 1-7 points
26.8%
NHVN By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Columbia
26
COLUMBIA
New Haven
28
NEW HAVEN
Simulated Score
Columbia
68
COLUMBIA
New Haven
72
NEW HAVEN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Chargers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Chargers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Chargers (+7.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Chargers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 54.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 7, 2025
COLU @ NHVN
71 - 53
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+46.8% more
New Haven: 7.0
vs
Columbia: 4.8
Assists (L5)
+83.6% more
Columbia: 18.3
vs
New Haven: 3.0
Blocks (L5)
+45.7% more
Columbia: 1.8
vs
New Haven: 1.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+28.1%
Columbia: 71.1%
vs
New Haven: 43.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COLU Score
26.0
71
NHVN Score
28.0
53
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
21.0 / 26.7
21.0 / 50.0
Assists
3.0 / 18.3
8.0 / 11.0
Blocks
1.0 / 1.8
2.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
44.0 / 43.9
32.0 / 55.0
Free Throw %
43.0 / 71.1
81.0 / 64.0
Rebounding
25.0 / 34.3
27.0 / 41.0
Steals
7.0 / 4.8
8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.0 / 10.5
12.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COLU
Advantage
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
NHVN
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COLU
13-13-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
NHVN
Advantage
15-13-0
(53.6%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
COLU
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: -1.1
NHVN
8-20-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4%
Total +/-: -3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NHVN
COLU
NHVN
COLU
ML
71%
22-9
44%
12-15
68%
21-10
56%
15-12
ATS
74%
23-8
59%
16-11
68%
21-10
56%
15-12
TTL
42%
13-18
74%
20-7
100%
31-0
100%
27-0
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