AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
0%
RAIDERS
100%
HUSKIES
--
RAIDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
121.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
NORTHEASTERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Northeastern)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NE -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NE)
NE By 1-7 points
24.3%
NE By 8-14 points
26.8%
COLG By 1-7 points
12.2%
COLG By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Northeastern
65
NORTHEASTERN
Colgate
56
COLGATE
Simulated Score
Northeastern
69
NORTHEASTERN
Colgate
74
COLGATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Huskies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Raiders
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Huskies (-5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Raiders (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 121.0
D
Sim
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 7, 2025
NE @ COLG
68 - 65
Dec 8, 2024
COLG @ NE
75 - 78
Dec 3, 2021
COLG @ NE
69 - 74
Nov 9, 2021
NE @ COLG
58 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+36.7% more
Northeastern: 3.8
vs
Colgate: 2.4
Steals (L5)
+18.9% more
Northeastern: 8.8
vs
Colgate: 7.1
Rebounding (L5)
+8.3% more
Northeastern: 32.5
vs
Colgate: 29.9
Assists (L5)
+28.2% more
Colgate: 14.0
vs
Northeastern: 10.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NE Score
65.0
68
COLG Score
56.0
65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.4 / 31.5
21.0 / 17.0
Assists
14.0 / 10.9
13.0 / 16.0
Blocks
2.4 / 3.8
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
47.5 / 43.5
41.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
70.7 / 67.7
81.0 / 72.0
Rebounding
29.9 / 32.5
39.0 / 35.0
Steals
7.1 / 8.8
5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 12.5
11.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NE
7-24-0
(22.6%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: -2.2
COLG
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NE
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: -2.2
COLG
Advantage
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
NE
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5%
Total +/-: +7.6
COLG
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COLG
NE
COLG
NE
ML
59%
19-13
70%
21-9
69%
22-10
60%
18-12
ATS
72%
23-9
63%
19-11
70%
23-10
60%
18-12
TTL
78%
25-7
53%
16-14
100%
33-0
100%
30-0