GEORGETOWN
HOYASGTWN
1-0 | Road
70
MARYLAND
TERRAPINSMD
1-0 | Home
60
AI Model Win Probability
HOYAS
0%
TERRAPINS
100%
HOYAS
--
TERRAPINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
GEORGETOWN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Georgetown)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GTWN -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GTWN)
GTWN By 1-7 points
5.8%
GTWN By 8-14 points
15.3%
MD By 1-7 points
1.1%
MD By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Georgetown
88
GEORGETOWN
Maryland
66
MARYLAND
Simulated Score
Georgetown
70
GEORGETOWN
Maryland
75
MARYLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hoyas
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Terrapins
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hoyas (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim
Terrapins (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o146.5
Loss
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 7, 2025
GTWN @ MD
70 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+36.4% more
Georgetown: 4.9
vs
Maryland: 3.1
Rebounding (L5)
+13.6% more
Georgetown: 35.6
vs
Maryland: 30.7
Steals (L5)
+18.5% more
Maryland: 9.6
vs
Georgetown: 8.1
Turnovers (L5)
+13.0% more
Maryland: 9.7
vs
Georgetown: 8.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GTWN Score
88.0
70
MD Score
66.0
60
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.6 / 28.9
19.0 / 25.0
Assists
12.1 / 12.6
4.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.1 / 4.9
3.0 / 11.0
Field Goal %
43.7 / 41.6
25.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
81.5 / 69.1
81.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
30.7 / 35.6
40.0 / 41.0
Steals
9.6 / 8.1
2.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
9.7 / 8.6
13.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GTWN
Advantage
16-18-0
(47.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.3
MD
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -6.9
ATS +/-: -2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GTWN
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.3
MD
Advantage
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -6.9
ATS +/-: -2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
GTWN
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5%
Total +/-: +0.4
MD
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MD
GTWN
MD
GTWN
ML
70%
23-10
67%
22-11
67%
22-11
73%
22-8
ATS
64%
21-12
58%
19-14
67%
22-11
73%
22-8
TTL
64%
21-12
58%
19-14
100%
33-0
100%
30-0
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